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当前的贸易战对中国经济有什么影响呢？有分析表明，尽管它给经济带来的直接影响肯定是负面的，但实际上却很小，还不到GDP的0.5%。然而，即使对中国来说直接的经济影响也许是可控的，但贸易战本身却有可能损害中美之间的长期关系，包括影响涵盖教育、旅游的服务贸易在未来的增长速度。美国在服务领域一直拥有庞大的、不断增长的顺差，中方估计这一顺差在2017年达到540亿美元，美方的估计是400亿美元。贸易战最大的影响，也许将远远超出眼下直接受到影响的货物。 What is the impact of the current trade war on the Chinese economy? An analysis shows that while the immediate direct impact on the economy is certainly negative, it is small in real terms, affecting less than 0.5% of GDP. However, while the immediate economic impact may be manageable for China, the trade war itself may do damage to the longer-term relations between China and the United States, including by affecting the future rate of growth of trade in services, including education and tourism. The U.S. has a persistent, large and growing surplus in this area, which was estimated by China to be $54 billion, and by the U.S. to be $40 billion in 2017. The biggest impact from the trade war might go beyond the immediate goods that are affected now. | 
