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Can 'goal factoring' help you keep your New Year's resolution to hit the gym every day in 2017? “目标构想”能帮助你坚持自己的新年决心，在2017年的每一天都去健身房健身吗？ 'Goal factoring, ' a method of designing better plans, is one of the techniques taught by the Center for Applied Rationality, which hosts three-day workshops that teach attendees how to use science-based approaches to achieve goals. A November workshop in Ossining, N.Y., instructed 23 participants on how thinking about one's future self as a different person can help goal-setting and why building up an 'emotional library' of associations can reduce procrastination. “目标构想”是应用理性学习中心(Center for Applied Rationality，简称“CFAR”)所教授的技巧之一，是一种拟定更合理计划的方法。该中心常举办为期三天的讲习班，教授与会者如何采用有科学依据的方法来实现目标。他们于11月份在纽约州奥西宁(Ossining)举办的讲习班吸引了23名参加者，指导他们把未来的自己想象成一个不同的人可如何帮助制定目标，以及建立“情感（联想）库”为何能减轻拖延。 CFAR, a Berkeley, Calif.-based nonprofit, is prominent in the growing 'rationality movement, ' which explores the science of optimized decision-making. In recent years, books about decision-making and probability theory -- including 'Predictably Irrational' by Dan Ariely, who writes a regular column for The Wall Street Journal, and 'Thinking, Fast and Slow' by Daniel Kahneman -- have been best-sellers. Websites like Overcoming Bias and Less Wrong serve as communities for those who believe the best way to be effective, whether in changing eating habits or changing the world, is to actively look at the lessons of science and hard data. The movement draws on some of the same research as economists who argue that investors behave irrationally. | 
