眼看一年又要过去了,在总结2013年的同时还有更多人在计划着2017、预测着2017。关于2017年的商业社会里会有哪些值得注意的新动向?本文作者提出了自己的看法。 Whenever I talk to people about the future, I'm struck by their belief that it is knowable. The impression I get is that most people imagine the future like a book ending: already written and readable if you can just steal a quick look at the last few pages. What they find difficult is accepting that the pages aren't written yet. The future hasn't happened, hasn't even been planned--and cannot be known because it doesn't exist. 每次我跟人说起“未来”,我都被他们对“未来是可知”的这一想法吓到。我的印象就是,大部分人都想象未来像书本一样,有一个结局:已经写好了、也可以读取。你只要快速地窥一眼这本书的最后几页就能知道。他们很难接受这最后几页根本没有写完。未来还没有发生、也没有计划好——也无法预知,因为它们还根本不存在。 So I don't know what will happen in 2017--and neither does anyone else. What I imagine, though, looks like this: 所以我不知道2017会发生什么——谁也不知道。但在我的想象中,它会是这样的: |