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财经: 美元想雄起,或能迎来牛市

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The stars are aligning for a major bull run in the dollar. As America emerges from the Great Recession in better shape than the rest of the developed world, the US currency is on a roll.

美元有望迎来一波大牛市行情。美国从“大衰退”(Great Recession)中复苏的情况好于其他发达国家,美元也节节攀升。

A wave of upbeat economic figures, the latest being robust February jobs data, have pushed the 10-year benchmark Treasury yield back above 2 per cent and left the S and P 500 stock market index sitting just 1 per cent below a record high. And that is good news for the dollar.

一连串经济数据转好(最新表现是2月就业数据强劲),推动美国基准10年期国债收益率回到2%以上,标准普尔500指数也只比历史最高值低1%。这对美元是利好消息。

On a trade-weighted basis, the worlds foremost reserve currency has marched 4.5 per cent higher over the past five weeksgaining with relatively risky assets such as equities as US recovery prospects have brightenedwhile the euro, sterling and yen have all retreated.

随着美国经济复苏前景转好,作为世界主要储备货币的美元与股票等风险资产一同上涨,美元贸易加权汇率过去5周来已累计上升4.5%,与此同时,欧元、英镑和日元全都走低。

Its becoming increasingly clear that the US is crawling out of the mud faster than other developed economies,” says Nicholas Pifer, portfolio manager at Columbia Management.

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