Pakistan sfuture;Resilient mess; 巴基斯坦未来;扑朔迷离的未来; The Future of Pakistan. By Stephen Cohen andothers. 《巴基斯坦的未来》,斯蒂芬柯恩著。 It seems optimistic to write a book called TheFuture of Pakistan it assumes the country hasone. Tot up the assorted threats and its survivalmay look dubious: Islamists, separatists,potentially stray nuclear weapons, the war in Afghanistan, economic and natural disasters,a booming and restless young population, unfathomably venal leaders, rotting institutionsand violent megacities. Any of these could yet spell the country s demise . 作者似乎以乐观的态度写《巴基斯坦的未来》这本书;书中倒是希望巴基斯坦的未来会让人乐观。综合各种威胁,巴基斯坦的犹存似乎让人疑虑重重:伊斯兰教徒和独立主义者盛行,潜在的核武器事端,阿富汗战争,经济和自然灾难,迅速增加的颓废的年轻人,国家领导人卷入受贿深渊,机构腐败,大城市暴力事件不断。上面的任何一个事件可能招致这个国家的灭亡。 Individually, none of the 17 expert contributors to this frank and detailed volume is quite soapocalyptic. But their collective mood is grim. In pondering scenarios for the coming years,these various specialists have produced a flood of gloomy details and prognoses. |