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[GMAT写作] GMAT考试写作指导:Argument范文四八

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  22. The conclusion in this argument is that increased vigilance by drug enforcement

  authorities has resulted in an increase in the illegal use of cocaine. The author reaches

  this conclusion on the grounds that drug traffickers have responded to increased

  enforcement efforts by switching from bulkier and riskier drugs to cocaine. Presumably,

  the authors reasoning is that the increased enforcement efforts inadvertently brought

  about an increase in the supply of cocaine which, in turn, brought about the observed

  increase in the illegal use of cocaine. This line of reasoning is problematic in two

  important respects.

  In the first place, the author has engaged in after this, therefore because of this

  reasoning. The only reason offered for believing that the increased vigilance caused the

  increase in cocaine use is the fact that the former preceded the latter. No additional

  evidence linking the two events is offered in the argument, thus leaving open the

  possibility that the two events are not causally related but merely correlated. This in turn

  leaves open the possibility that factors other than the one cited are responsible for the

  increase in cocaine use.

  In the second place, the author assumes that an increase in the supply of cocaine is

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