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[GMAT写作] GMAT考试写作指导:Argument范文二三

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  83. This editorial asserts that West Cambria should not change its highway speed

  limits because such changes adversely affect driver alertness and are therefore

  dangerous. To support this claim, the editorial cites statistics indicating that whenever

  East Cambria changed its speed limits, an average of 3 percent more automobile

  accidents occurred during the week after the change than during the week preceding it,

  even when the speed limit was lowered. As it stands, this argument suffers from three

  critical flaws.

  First, it is unlikely that the brief one-week periods under comparison are

  representative of longer time periods. A difference of only 3 percent during one

  particular week can easily be accounted for by other factors, such as heavy holiday

  traffic or bad weather, or by problems with reporting or sampling. Had the editorial

  indicated that several speed-limit changes in East Cambria contributed to the statistic,

  the argument would be more convincing; but for all we know, the statistic is based on

  only one such change. In any event, a one-week period is too brief to be representative

  because it is likely that accidents will occur more frequently immediately following the

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