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第四部分：阅读理解 第一篇 There are several different methods that can be used to create a forecast. The method forecaster chooses depends upon the experience of the forecaster, the amount of information available to the forecaster, the level of difficulty that the forecast situation presents, and the degree of accuracy or confidence needed in the forecast. The trends method involves determining the speed and direction of movement for fronts, high and low pressure centers, and areas of clouds and precipitation. Using this information, the forecaster can predict where he or she expects those features to be at some future time. For example, if a storm system is 1,000 miles west of your location and moving to the east at 250 miles per day, suing the trends method you would predict it to arrive in your area in 4 days. The trends method works well when systems continue to move at the same speed in the same direction for a long period of time. if they slow down, speed up, change intensity, or change direction, the trends forecast will probably not work as well. The analog method is a slightly more complicated method of producing a forecast. It involves examining todays forecast scenario and remembering a day in the past when the weather scenario looked very similar . The forecaster would predict that the weather in this forecast will behave the same as it did in the past. The analog method is difficult to use because it is virtually impossible to find a predict analog. Various weather features rarely align themselves in the same locations they were in the previous time. Even small differences between the current time and the analog can lead to very different results. A Imagination of the forecaster. C Practical knowledge of the forecaster. 32 Persistence method will work well __________. B if weather conditions do not change much D on rainy days A it makes predications about weather C the weather features need to be well defined 34 Which method may involve historical weather data? __________ B The analog method. D The trends method and the persistence method. A when the current weather scenario differs from the analog C when the analog is over ten years old 第二篇 Lateral thinking , first described by Edward de Bono in 1967, is just a few years older than Edwards son. You might imagine that Caspar was raised to be an adventurous thinker, but de Bono name was so famous, Caspers parents worried that any time he would say something bright at school, his teachers might snap, Where do you get that idea from? Thinking is traditionally regarded as something executed in a logical sequence, and everybody knows that children arent very logical. So isnt it an uphill battle, trying to teach them to think? You know, Edward de Bono says, if you examine peoples thinking, it is quite unusual to find faults of logic. But the faults of perception are huge! Often we think ineffectively because we take too limited a view. 36 What is TRUE about Casper? __________ B He is an adventurous thinker. D He is often scolded by his teacher. A he was careful and often overworked C he used in the exam the techniques provided by his father 38 It can be inferred from Paragraph 2 that Edward __________. B gave a description of lateral thinking several years after his son was born D once taught businessmen how to think before he wrote for parents and children A Everybody knows that children arent very logical. C We often think ineffectively because we take too limited a view. 40 Lateral thinking refers to the following EXCEPT __________. B improving ones perception in thinking D exploring the alternatives for what you are saying | 
