无人驾驶汽车何时才能上路
<p><span word="It">It</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="becoming">becoming</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="car">car</span> <span word="industry">industry</span> <span word="parlour">parlour</span> <span word="game">game</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="predict">predict</span> <span word="when">when</span> <span word="fully">fully</span> <span word="driverless">driverless</span> <span word="cars">cars</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="arrive">arrive</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="roads">roads</span>.</p><p>预言完全无人驾驶的汽车将何时上路，正成为汽车业的猜谜游戏。</p><p><span word="Audi">Audi</span> <span word="chairman">chairman</span> <span word="Rupert">Rupert</span> <span word="Stadler">Stadler</span>, <span word="whose">whose</span> <span word="company">company</span> <span word="just">just</span> <span word="topped">topped</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="record">record</span> 149<span word="mph">mph</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="fully">fully</span> <span word="self">self</span>-<span word="driving">driving</span> <span word="RS">RS</span>7 <span word="sportback">sportback</span>, <span word="says">says</span> <span word="drivers">drivers</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="able">able</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="take">take</span> <span word="their">their</span> <span word="hands">hands</span> <span word="off">off</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="wheel">wheel</span> <span word="by">by</span> 2016. <span word="A">A</span> <span word="year">year</span> <span word="later">later</span>, <span word="Volvo">Volvo</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="put">put</span> 100 <span word="self">self</span>-<span word="driving">driving</span> <span word="cars">cars</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="streets">streets</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="Gothenburg">Gothenburg</span>, <span word="Sweden">Sweden</span>, <span word="with">with</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="aim">aim</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="getting">getting</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="fully">fully</span> <span word="autonomous">autonomous</span> <span word="vehicle">vehicle</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="market">market</span> <span word="by">by</span> 2020.</p><p>奥迪(<span word="Audi">Audi</span>)的全自动驾驶<span word="RS">RS</span>7掀背轿跑车刚以149英里的时速刷新了纪录。该公司董事长鲁珀特•施塔德勒(<span word="Rupert">Rupert</span> <span word="Stadler">Stadler</span>)称，到2016年驾驶员将能够从手动操控汽车中解放出来。一年后，沃尔沃将向瑞典哥德堡(<span word="Gothenburg">Gothenburg</span>)的道路投放100辆自动驾驶汽车，目标是在2020年向市场推出完全自动驾驶的汽车。</p><p><span word="Research">Research</span> <span word="group">group</span> <span word="Gartner">Gartner</span> <span word="says">says</span> <span word="that">that</span>, <span word="by">by</span> 2030, <span word="autonomous">autonomous</span>-<span word="enabled">enabled</span> <span word="vehicles">vehicles</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="make">make</span> <span word="up">up</span> <span word="about">about</span> 25 <span word="per">per</span> <span word="cent">cent</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="passenger">passenger</span> <span word="cars">cars</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="mature">mature</span> <span word="markets">markets</span>. <span word="Consultancy">Consultancy</span> <span word="Roland">Roland</span> <span word="Berger">Berger</span> <span word="says">says</span> “<span word="wide">wide</span> <span word="adoption">adoption</span>” <span word="could">could</span> <span word="follow">follow</span> <span word="soon">soon</span> <span word="after">after</span>, <span word="creating">creating</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="market">market</span> <span word="worth">worth</span> $60<span word="bn">bn</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="carmakers">carmakers</span>, <span word="parts">parts</span> <span word="suppliers">suppliers</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="tech">tech</span> <span word="companies">companies</span>.</p><p>研究公司高德纳(<span word="Gartner">Gartner</span>)称，到2030年，自动驾驶的汽车将在成熟市场的乘用车部分占据约25%的份额。咨询公司罗兰贝格(<span word="Roland">Roland</span> <span word="Berger">Berger</span>)称，“普及”可能在那之后很快到来，为汽车制造商、零部件供应商及科技公司创造600亿美元的市场。</p>
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