埃博拉传播地图: 英法危险大 中国暂无忧
<p><span word="Ebola">Ebola</span> <span word="already">already</span> <span word="reached">reached</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="US">US</span> <span word="when">when</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="patient">patient</span> <span word="was">was</span> <span word="diagnosed">diagnosed</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="Texas">Texas</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="September">September</span> 30. <span word="But">But</span> <span word="where">where</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="disease">disease</span> <span word="likely">likely</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="go">go</span> <span word="next">next</span>? <span word="A">A</span> <span word="map">map</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="MOBS">MOBS</span> <span word="Lab">Lab</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="Northeastern">Northeastern</span> <span word="University">University</span> <span word="shows">shows</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="risks">risks</span>.</p><p>9月30日美国德克萨斯州的一名病人被确诊后，这意味着可怕的埃博拉病毒已经扩散到了美国。那么接下来埃博拉最可能扩散到哪个国家呢？美国东北大学生物和社会技术系统模拟实验室的研究人员计算并制作了一张图表。</p><p><span word="To">To</span> <span word="develop">develop</span> <span word="these">these</span> <span word="estimates">estimates</span>, <span word="researchers">researchers</span> <span word="used">used</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="computer">computer</span> <span word="model">model</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="tracks">tracks</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="frequency">frequency</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="international">international</span> <span word="traffic">traffic</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="different">different</span> <span word="countries">countries</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="progression">progression</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="disease">disease</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="already">already</span> <span word="affected">affected</span> <span word="countries">countries</span>, <span word="and">and</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="incubation">incubation</span> <span word="time">time</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="other">other</span> <span word="aspects">aspects</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="Ebola">Ebola</span>. <span word="The">The</span> <span word="estimates">estimates</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="updated">updated</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="epidemic">epidemic</span> <span word="continues">continues</span>.</p><p>为了得出这些预测，研究人员们使用计算机模型追踪自病原区西非向其他国家发出航班的频率、已受感染地区的疫情发展情况，以及埃博拉病毒的潜伏期等其他方面。这些预测信息会随疫情的发展而即时更新。</p><p><span word="Outside">Outside</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="Africa">Africa</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="risk">risk</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="relatively">relatively</span> <span word="high">high</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="UK">UK</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="France">France</span>, <span word="but">but</span> <span word="thankfully">thankfully</span> <span word="very">very</span> <span word="low">low</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="India">India</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="China">China</span>. <span word="The">The</span> <span word="more">more</span> <span word="advanced">advanced</span> <span word="health">health</span>-<span word="care">care</span> <span word="systems">systems</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="UK">UK</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="France">France</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="much">much</span> <span word="better">better</span> <span word="equipped">equipped</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="deal">deal</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="an">an</span> <span word="Ebola">Ebola</span> <span word="outbreak">outbreak</span>, <span word="while">while</span> <span word="less">less</span> <span word="advanced">advanced</span> <span word="systems">systems</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="China">China</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="particularly">particularly</span> <span word="India">India</span>, <span word="which">which</span> <span word="also">also</span> <span word="have">have</span> <span word="considerably">considerably</span> <span word="bigger">bigger</span> <span word="populations">populations</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="manage">manage</span>, <span word="could">could</span> <span word="struggle">struggle</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="deal">deal</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="an">an</span> <span word="epidemic">epidemic</span>.</p>
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