为什么威尔士不会要求公投独立
<p><span word="AFTER">AFTER</span> <span word="months">months</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="which">which</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="looked">looked</span> <span word="all">all</span> <span word="but">but</span> <span word="certain">certain</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="Scotland">Scotland</span> <span word="would">would</span> <span word="vote">vote</span> “<span word="No">No</span>” <span word="to">to</span> <span word="independence">independence</span>, <span word="there">there</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="now">now</span> <span word="real">real</span> <span word="concern">concern</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="London">London</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="possibility">possibility</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="Scotland">Scotland</span> <span word="opting">opting</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="divorce">divorce</span> <span word="this">this</span> <span word="Thursday">Thursday</span>. <span word="Polls">Polls</span> <span word="suggest">suggest</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="closer">closer</span> <span word="race">race</span> <span word="than">than</span> <span word="many">many</span> <span word="had">had</span> <span word="predicted">predicted</span>, <span word="with">with</span> <span word="the">the</span> “<span word="Yes">Yes</span>” <span word="campaign">campaign</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="Scottish">Scottish</span> <span word="independence">independence</span> <span word="even">even</span> <span word="nudging">nudging</span> <span word="ahead">ahead</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="lacklustre">lacklustre</span> “<span word="No">No</span>” <span word="campaign">campaign</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="some">some</span> <span word="surveys">surveys</span> <span word="over">over</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="past">past</span> <span word="two">two</span> <span word="weeks">weeks</span>. <span word="But">But</span> <span word="if">if</span> <span word="Scotland">Scotland</span> <span word="does">does</span> <span word="leave">leave</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="United">United</span> <span word="Kingdom">Kingdom</span>, <span word="what">what</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="Wales">Wales</span>? <span word="Would">Would</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="Scottish">Scottish</span> “<span word="Yes">Yes</span>” <span word="vote">vote</span> <span word="prompt">prompt</span> <span word="calls">calls</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Welsh">Welsh</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="hold">hold</span> <span word="their">their</span> <span word="own">own</span> <span word="referendum">referendum</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="independence">independence</span>, <span word="precipitating">precipitating</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="exit">exit</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="Wales">Wales</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Union">Union</span> <span word="too">too</span>?</p><p><span word="In">In</span> <span word="fact">fact</span>, <span word="although">although</span> <span word="Wales">Wales</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="similar">similar</span> <span word="position">position</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="Scotland">Scotland</span>, <span word="both">both</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="terms">terms</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="history">history</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="its">its</span> <span word="present">present</span> <span word="constitutional">constitutional</span> <span word="arrangements">arrangements</span>, <span word="if">if</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="polls">polls</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="believed">believed</span> <span word="there">there</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="almost">almost</span> <span word="no">no</span> <span word="appetite">appetite</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="independence">independence</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="Wales">Wales</span>. <span word="A">A</span> <span word="YouGov">YouGov</span> <span word="poll">poll</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="April">April</span> <span word="asked">asked</span> <span word="Welsh">Welsh</span> <span word="voters">voters</span>: “<span word="Should">Should</span> <span word="Wales">Wales</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="an">an</span> <span word="independent">independent</span> <span word="country">country</span>?”, <span word="and">and</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="answer">answer</span> <span word="was">was</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="resounding">resounding</span> <span word="No">No</span>. <span word="Only">Only</span> 12% <span word="answered">answered</span> <span word="positively">positively</span>, <span word="with">with</span> 74% <span word="against">against</span> (<span word="and">and</span> 13% <span word="don">don</span>’<span word="t">t</span> <span word="knows">knows</span>). <span word="Curiously">Curiously</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="same">same</span> <span word="poll">poll</span> <span word="showed">showed</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="more">more</span> <span word="Welsh">Welsh</span> <span word="supported">supported</span> <span word="independence">independence</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="Scotland">Scotland</span> <span word="than">than</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="their">their</span> <span word="own">own</span> <span word="country">country</span>. <span word="Furthermore">Furthermore</span>, <span word="that">that</span> 12% <span word="figure">figure</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="probably">probably</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="high">high</span> <span word="side">side</span>, <span word="as">as</span> <span word="several">several</span> <span word="other">other</span> <span word="surveys">surveys</span> <span word="have">have</span> <span word="shown">shown</span> <span word="support">support</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="Welsh">Welsh</span> <span word="independence">independence</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="more">more</span> <span word="like">like</span> 5%. <span word="Not">Not</span> <span word="even">even</span> <span word="all">all</span> <span word="supporters">supporters</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="Plaid">Plaid</span> <span word="Cymru">Cymru</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Welsh">Welsh</span> <span word="nationalist">nationalist</span> <span word="party">party</span>, <span word="are">are</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="favour">favour</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="independence">independence</span>. <span word="If">If</span> <span word="Scotland">Scotland</span> <span word="votes">votes</span> "<span word="No">No</span>" <span word="on">on</span> <span word="September">September</span> 18<span word="th">th</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="certainly">certainly</span> <span word="get">get</span> <span word="more">more</span> <span word="powers">powers</span> <span word="devolved">devolved</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="Westminster">Westminster</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="Edinburgh">Edinburgh</span> <span word="anyway">anyway</span>, <span word="and">and</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="same">same</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="bound">bound</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="happen">happen</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="Wales">Wales</span>. <span word="But">But</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="not">not</span> <span word="expected">expected</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="shift">shift</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="basic">basic</span> <span word="Welsh">Welsh</span> <span word="objection">objection</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="independence">independence</span> <span word="much">much</span>.</p>
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