2017年七大不靠谱的商业预测
<p>眼看一年又要过去了，在总结2013年的同时还有更多人在计划着2017、预测着2017。关于2017年的商业社会里会有哪些值得注意的新动向？本文作者提出了自己的看法。</p><p><span word="Whenever">Whenever</span> <span word="I">I</span> <span word="talk">talk</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="people">people</span> <span word="about">about</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="future">future</span>, <span word="I">I</span>'<span word="m">m</span> <span word="struck">struck</span> <span word="by">by</span> <span word="their">their</span> <span word="belief">belief</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="knowable">knowable</span>. <span word="The">The</span> <span word="impression">impression</span> <span word="I">I</span> <span word="get">get</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="most">most</span> <span word="people">people</span> <span word="imagine">imagine</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="future">future</span> <span word="like">like</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="book">book</span> <span word="ending">ending</span>: <span word="already">already</span> <span word="written">written</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="readable">readable</span> <span word="if">if</span> <span word="you">you</span> <span word="can">can</span> <span word="just">just</span> <span word="steal">steal</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="quick">quick</span> <span word="look">look</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="last">last</span> <span word="few">few</span> <span word="pages">pages</span>. <span word="What">What</span> <span word="they">they</span> <span word="find">find</span> <span word="difficult">difficult</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="accepting">accepting</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="pages">pages</span> <span word="aren">aren</span>'<span word="t">t</span> <span word="written">written</span> <span word="yet">yet</span>. <span word="The">The</span> <span word="future">future</span> <span word="hasn">hasn</span>'<span word="t">t</span> <span word="happened">happened</span>, <span word="hasn">hasn</span>'<span word="t">t</span> <span word="even">even</span> <span word="been">been</span> <span word="planned">planned</span>--<span word="and">and</span> <span word="cannot">cannot</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="known">known</span> <span word="because">because</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="doesn">doesn</span>'<span word="t">t</span> <span word="exist">exist</span>.</p><p>每次我跟人说起“未来”，我都被他们对“未来是可知”的这一想法吓到。我的印象就是，大部分人都想象未来像书本一样，有一个结局：已经写好了、也可以读取。你只要快速地窥一眼这本书的最后几页就能知道。他们很难接受这最后几页根本没有写完。未来还没有发生、也没有计划好——也无法预知，因为它们还根本不存在。</p><p><span word="So">So</span> <span word="I">I</span> <span word="don">don</span>'<span word="t">t</span> <span word="know">know</span> <span word="what">what</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="happen">happen</span> <span word="in">in</span> 2017--<span word="and">and</span> <span word="neither">neither</span> <span word="does">does</span> <span word="anyone">anyone</span> <span word="else">else</span>. <span word="What">What</span> <span word="I">I</span> <span word="imagine">imagine</span>, <span word="though">though</span>, <span word="looks">looks</span> <span word="like">like</span> <span word="this">this</span>:</p><p>所以我不知道2017会发生什么——谁也不知道。但在我的想象中，它会是这样的：</p>
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