财经: 美元想雄起,或能迎来牛市
<p><span word="The">The</span> <span word="stars">stars</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="aligning">aligning</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="major">major</span> <span word="bull">bull</span> <span word="run">run</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="dollar">dollar</span>. <span word="As">As</span> <span word="America">America</span> <span word="emerges">emerges</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Great">Great</span> <span word="Recession">Recession</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="better">better</span> <span word="shape">shape</span> <span word="than">than</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="rest">rest</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="developed">developed</span> <span word="world">world</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="US">US</span> <span word="currency">currency</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="roll">roll</span>.</p><p>美元有望迎来一波大牛市行情。美国从“大衰退”(<span word="Great">Great</span> <span word="Recession">Recession</span>)中复苏的情况好于其他发达国家，美元也节节攀升。</p><p><span word="A">A</span> <span word="wave">wave</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="upbeat">upbeat</span> <span word="economic">economic</span> <span word="figures">figures</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="latest">latest</span> <span word="being">being</span> <span word="robust">robust</span> <span word="February">February</span> <span word="jobs">jobs</span> <span word="data">data</span>, <span word="have">have</span> <span word="pushed">pushed</span> <span word="the">the</span> 10-<span word="year">year</span> <span word="benchmark">benchmark</span> <span word="Treasury">Treasury</span> <span word="yield">yield</span> <span word="back">back</span> <span word="above">above</span> 2 <span word="per">per</span> <span word="cent">cent</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="left">left</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="S">S</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="P">P</span> 500 <span word="stock">stock</span> <span word="market">market</span> <span word="index">index</span> <span word="sitting">sitting</span> <span word="just">just</span> 1 <span word="per">per</span> <span word="cent">cent</span> <span word="below">below</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="record">record</span> <span word="high">high</span>. <span word="And">And</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="good">good</span> <span word="news">news</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="dollar">dollar</span>.</p><p>一连串经济数据转好（最新表现是2月就业数据强劲），推动美国基准10年期国债收益率回到2%以上，标准普尔500指数也只比历史最高值低1%。这对美元是利好消息。</p><p><span word="On">On</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="trade">trade</span>-<span word="weighted">weighted</span> <span word="basis">basis</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="world">world</span>’<span word="s">s</span> <span word="foremost">foremost</span> <span word="reserve">reserve</span> <span word="currency">currency</span> <span word="has">has</span> <span word="marched">marched</span> 4.5 <span word="per">per</span> <span word="cent">cent</span> <span word="higher">higher</span> <span word="over">over</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="past">past</span> <span word="five">five</span> <span word="weeks">weeks</span> – <span word="gaining">gaining</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="relatively">relatively</span> <span word="risky">risky</span> <span word="assets">assets</span> <span word="such">such</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="equities">equities</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="US">US</span> <span word="recovery">recovery</span> <span word="prospects">prospects</span> <span word="have">have</span> <span word="brightened">brightened</span> – <span word="while">while</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="euro">euro</span>, <span word="sterling">sterling</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="yen">yen</span> <span word="have">have</span> <span word="all">all</span> <span word="retreated">retreated</span>.</p><p>随着美国经济复苏前景转好，作为世界主要储备货币的美元与股票等风险资产一同上涨，美元贸易加权汇率过去5周来已累计上升4.5%，与此同时，欧元、英镑和日元全都走低。</p><p>“<span word="It">It</span>’<span word="s">s</span> <span word="becoming">becoming</span> <span word="increasingly">increasingly</span> <span word="clear">clear</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="US">US</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="crawling">crawling</span> <span word="out">out</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="mud">mud</span> <span word="faster">faster</span> <span word="than">than</span> <span word="other">other</span> <span word="developed">developed</span> <span word="economies">economies</span>,” <span word="says">says</span> <span word="Nicholas">Nicholas</span> <span word="Pifer">Pifer</span>, <span word="portfolio">portfolio</span> <span word="manager">manager</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="Columbia">Columbia</span> <span word="Management">Management</span>.</p>
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