GMAT考试写作指导：Argument范文四十
<p> 30. <span word="In">In</span> <span word="this">this</span> <span word="argument">argument</span> <span word="prudent">prudent</span> <span word="investors">investors</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="advised">advised</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="stop">stop</span> <span word="investing">investing</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="hotels">hotels</span> <span word="and">and</span></p><p> <span word="invest">invest</span> <span word="instead">instead</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="hospitals">hospitals</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="nursing">nursing</span> <span word="homes">homes</span>. <span word="The">The</span> <span word="author">author</span> <span word="cites">cites</span> <span word="two">two</span> <span word="related">related</span> <span word="trends">trends</span>―<span word="an">an</span></p><p> <span word="aging">aging</span> <span word="population">population</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="decline">decline</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="hotel">hotel</span> <span word="occupancy">occupancy</span>―<span word="as">as</span> <span word="grounds">grounds</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="this">this</span> <span word="advice">advice</span>. <span word="To">To</span></p><p> <span word="illustrate">illustrate</span> <span word="these">these</span> <span word="trends">trends</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="author">author</span> <span word="refers">refers</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="another">another</span> <span word="region">region</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="country">country</span>, <span word="where">where</span> 20</p><p> <span word="percent">percent</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="population">population</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="over">over</span> 65 <span word="years">years</span> <span word="old">old</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="where">where</span> <span word="occupancy">occupancy</span> <span word="rates">rates</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="resort">resort</span> <span word="hotels">hotels</span></p><p> <span word="have">have</span> <span word="declined">declined</span> <span word="significantly">significantly</span> <span word="during">during</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="past">past</span> <span word="six">six</span> <span word="months">months</span>. <span word="This">This</span> <span word="argument">argument</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="unconvincing">unconvincing</span></p><p> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="couple">couple</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="important">important</span> <span word="respects">respects</span>.</p><p> <span word="In">In</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="first">first</span> <span word="place">place</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="author">author</span> <span word="provides">provides</span> <span word="no">no</span> <span word="evidence">evidence</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="support">support</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="claim">claim</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="the">the</span></p><p> <span word="population">population</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="whole">whole</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="aging">aging</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="hotel">hotel</span> <span word="occupancy">occupancy</span> <span word="rate">rate</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="general">general</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="declining">declining</span>.</p><p> <span word="The">The</span> <span word="example">example</span> <span word="cited">cited</span>, <span word="while">while</span> <span word="suggestive">suggestive</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="these">these</span> <span word="trends">trends</span>, <span word="is">is</span> <span word="insufficient">insufficient</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="warrant">warrant</span> <span word="their">their</span> <span word="truth">truth</span></p><p> <span word="because">because</span> <span word="there">there</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="no">no</span> <span word="reason">reason</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="believe">believe</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="data">data</span> <span word="drawn">drawn</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="this">this</span> <span word="unnamed">unnamed</span> <span word="region">region</span> <span word="is">is</span></p><p> <span word="representative">representative</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="entire">entire</span> <span word="country">country</span>. <span word="For">For</span> <span word="example">example</span>, <span word="if">if</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="region">region</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="which">which</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="data">data</span> <span word="was">was</span></p><p> <span word="gathered">gathered</span> <span word="was">was</span> <span word="Florida">Florida</span>, <span word="it">it</span> <span word="would">would</span> <span word="clearly">clearly</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="unrepresentative">unrepresentative</span>. <span word="The">The</span> <span word="reason">reason</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="this">this</span> <span word="is">is</span></p><p> <span word="obvious">obvious</span>. <span word="Florida">Florida</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="populated">populated</span> <span word="by">by</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="disproportionate">disproportionate</span> <span word="number">number</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="retired">retired</span> <span word="people">people</span> <span word="over">over</span> 65</p><p> <span word="years">years</span> <span word="old">old</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="very">very</span> <span word="popular">popular</span> <span word="vacation">vacation</span> <span word="destination">destination</span> <span word="during">during</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="winter">winter</span> <span word="months">months</span>. <span word="Moreover">Moreover</span>,</p>
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