全球航空业预计到2024年才能恢复
<p>国际航空运输协会<span word="Airplanes">Airplanes</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="German">German</span> <span word="carrier">carrier</span> <span word="Lufthansa">Lufthansa</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="parked">parked</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Berlin">Berlin</span> <span word="Schoenefeld">Schoenefeld</span> <span word="airport">airport</span>, <span word="amid">amid</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="spread">spread</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="coronavirus">coronavirus</span> <span word="disease">disease</span> (<span word="COVID">COVID</span>-19) <span word="in">in</span> <span word="Schoenefeld">Schoenefeld</span>, <span word="Germany">Germany</span>, <span word="May">May</span> 26, 2020.[<span word="Photo">Photo</span>/<span word="Agencies">Agencies</span>]</p><p><span word="Global">Global</span> <span word="air">air</span> <span word="travel">travel</span> <span word="won">won</span>'<span word="t">t</span> <span word="recover">recover</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Covid">Covid</span>-19 <span word="crisis">crisis</span> <span word="until">until</span> 2024, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="International">International</span> <span word="Air">Air</span> <span word="Transport">Transport</span> <span word="Association">Association</span> (<span word="IATA">IATA</span>) <span word="announced">announced</span> <span word="Tuesday">Tuesday</span>.</p><p>国际航空运输协会周二<span word="That">That</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="year">year</span> <span word="later">later</span> <span word="than">than</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="airline">airline</span> <span word="body">body</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="previous">previous</span> <span word="projection">projection</span>.</p><p>这比该机构之前的预测晚了一年。</p><p><span word="The">The</span> <span word="body">body</span>, <span word="which">which</span> <span word="represents">represents</span> 290 <span word="airlines">airlines</span>, <span word="blamed">blamed</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="sluggish">sluggish</span> <span word="recovery">recovery</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="number">number</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="factors">factors</span>, <span word="including">including</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="lack">lack</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="consumer">consumer</span> <span word="confidence">confidence</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="decline">decline</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="business">business</span> <span word="travel">travel</span>, <span word="and">and</span> <span word="fresh">fresh</span> <span word="coronavirus">coronavirus</span> <span word="spikes">spikes</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="United">United</span> <span word="States">States</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="elsewhere">elsewhere</span>.</p><p>该机构将航空业复苏乏力归咎于一系列因素，包括消费者信心不足、商务旅行减少以及美国和其他地区新冠疫情重新抬头。该机构代表290家航空公司。</p><p><span word="The">The</span> <span word="revised">revised</span> <span word="baseline">baseline</span> <span word="forecast">forecast</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="international">international</span> <span word="passenger">passenger</span> <span word="traffic">traffic</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="drop">drop</span> 55% <span word="in">in</span> 2020, <span word="compared">compared</span> <span word="to">to</span> 2019. <span word="Back">Back</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="April">April</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="IATA">IATA</span> <span word="had">had</span> <span word="predicted">predicted</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="drop">drop</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="just">just</span> 46%.</p><p>修正后的基线预测是，2020年国际客运量将比2019年下降55%。今年4月，该机构曾预测下降幅度仅为46%。</p><p><span word="Passenger">Passenger</span> <span word="numbers">numbers</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="expected">expected</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="rise">rise</span> 62% <span word="next">next</span> <span word="year">year</span>, <span word="but">but</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="still">still</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="down">down</span> <span word="almost">almost</span> 30% <span word="compared">compared</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="pre">pre</span>-<span word="Covid">Covid</span> <span word="times">times</span>, <span word="with">with</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="full">full</span> <span word="recovery">recovery</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="pre">pre</span>-<span word="pandemic">pandemic</span> <span word="levels">levels</span> <span word="not">not</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="cards">cards</span> <span word="until">until</span> <span word="four">four</span> <span word="years">years</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="now">now</span>.</p>
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