经济形势“L型走势”
<p>一年之内，权威人士三上《人民日报》谈论中国经济，每次的信息量都很大，这次说的是，“我国经济运行不可能是<span word="U">U</span>型，更不可能是<span word="V">V</span>型，而是<span word="L">L</span>型的走势。这个<span word="L">L</span>型是一个阶段，不是一两年就能过去的”。</p><p>请看新华社的报道：</p><p><span word="China">China</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="economy">economy</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="tend">tend</span> <span word="towards">towards</span> <span word="L">L</span>-<span word="shaped">shaped</span> <span word="growth">growth</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="deep">deep</span>-<span word="rooted">rooted</span> <span word="problems">problems</span> <span word="persist">persist</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="new">new</span> <span word="challenges">challenges</span> <span word="emerge">emerge</span>, <span word="according">according</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="an">an</span> <span word="exclusive">exclusive</span> <span word="interview">interview</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="an">an</span> "<span word="authoritative">authoritative</span> <span word="figure">figure</span>," <span word="in">in</span> <span word="The">The</span> <span word="People">People</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="Daily">Daily</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="Monday">Monday</span>.</p><p>《人民日报》周一发表对权威人士的独家采访，称我国经济运行将是<span word="L">L</span>型的走势，深层次的问题还将持续，也会出现新的挑战。</p><p>这里的<span word="L">L</span>-<span word="shaped">shaped</span> <span word="growth">growth</span>就是指经济运行的“<span word="L">L</span>型走势”。文章称，经济运行的总体态势符合预期（<span word="within">within</span> <span word="expectations">expectations</span>），有些亮点还好于预期。但经济运行的固有矛盾没缓解，一些新问题也超出预期（<span word="with">with</span> <span word="some">some</span> <span word="emerging">emerging</span> <span word="problems">problems</span> "<span word="bigger">bigger</span> <span word="than">than</span> <span word="expected">expected</span>"）。很难用“开门红”“小阳春”等简单的概念加以描述。</p><p>文章称，我们面临的固有矛盾还没根本解决，一些新的问题也有所暴露。“稳”的基础仍然主要依靠“老办法”，即投资拉动，部分地区财政收支平衡压力较大，经济风险发生概率上升。特别是民营企业投资大幅下降（<span word="shrinking">shrinking</span> <span word="private">private</span> <span word="investment">investment</span>），房地产泡沫（<span word="the">the</span> <span word="real">real</span> <span word="estate">estate</span> <span word="bubble">bubble</span>）、过剩产能（<span word="industrial">industrial</span> <span word="overcapacity">overcapacity</span>）、不良贷款（<span word="non">non</span>-<span word="performing">performing</span> <span word="loans">loans</span>）、地方债务（<span word="local">local</span> <span word="government">government</span> <span word="debt">debt</span>）、股市、汇市、债市、非法集资等风险点增多。</p>
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