人口定时炸弹：日本人“濒危”的8个迹象
<p>要论世界上寿命最长的国家，日本总能遥遥领先。但是对于生育率极低的日本来说，这一长寿优势只能加剧恶性循环，甚至催生出了不少怪象，比如，成人纸尿裤销量超过婴儿纸尿裤，监狱变成养老院，和朋友结婚等等。专家估算，长此以往，日本人将在3776年灭绝。</p><p><span word="Japan">Japan</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="dealing">dealing</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="what">what</span> <span word="economists">economists</span> <span word="call">call</span> <span word="a">a</span> "<span word="demographic">demographic</span> <span word="time">time</span> <span word="bomb">bomb</span>."</p><p>日本正面临经济学家所谓的“人口定时炸弹”威胁。</p><p><span word="Through">Through</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="vicious">vicious</span> <span word="cycle">cycle</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="low">low</span> <span word="fertility">fertility</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="low">low</span> <span word="consumer">consumer</span> <span word="spending">spending</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="country">country</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="economy">economy</span> <span word="has">has</span> <span word="gradually">gradually</span> <span word="shrunk">shrunk</span> <span word="over">over</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="last">last</span> 25 <span word="years">years</span>.</p><p>受制于低生育率和低消费性开支的恶性循环，日本的经济在过去25年正逐渐缩水。</p><p><span word="People">People</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="living">living</span> <span word="longer">longer</span>, <span word="and">and</span> <span word="they">they</span>'<span word="re">re</span> <span word="heaping">heaping</span> <span word="greater">greater</span> <span word="social">social</span>-<span word="security">security</span> <span word="costs">costs</span> <span word="onto">onto</span> <span word="younger">younger</span> <span word="generations">generations</span> <span word="who">who</span> <span word="aren">aren</span>'<span word="t">t</span> <span word="having">having</span> <span word="kids">kids</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="replace">replace</span> <span word="them">them</span> — <span word="thereby">thereby</span> <span word="furthering">furthering</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="cycle">cycle</span>.</p><p>人们的寿命变长了，老人们滚雪球一样的社保负担被转嫁到了年轻一代的身上，而年轻一代又没有生育出可以替代自己的孩子，于是这种恶性循环进一步加剧。</p><p><span word="Here">Here</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="some">some</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="most">most</span> <span word="visible">visible</span> <span word="signs">signs</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="daily">daily</span> <span word="life">life</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="time">time</span> <span word="bomb">bomb</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="ticking">ticking</span>.</p><p>以下是最能反映日本人口炸弹危机的日常迹象。</p><p><span word="There">There</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="now">now</span> 68,000 <span word="people">people</span> <span word="over">over</span> 100 <span word="years">years</span> <span word="old">old</span>.</p><p>现在日本100岁以上的老人已经有68000位。</p>
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