国际英语资讯:Yearender: U.S. economy could slow down in 2019 amid risks: economists
<p><span word="NEW">NEW</span> <span word="YORK">YORK</span>, <span word="Jan">Jan</span>. 1-- <span word="After">After</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="year">year</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="improvement">improvement</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="U">U</span>.<span word="S">S</span>. <span word="economy">economy</span> <span word="may">may</span> <span word="face">face</span> <span word="challenges">challenges</span> <span word="in">in</span> 2019 <span word="as">as</span> <span word="waning">waning</span> <span word="stimulus">stimulus</span>, <span word="less">less</span> <span word="friendly">friendly</span> <span word="monetary">monetary</span> <span word="policy">policy</span> <span word="coupled">coupled</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="decelerating">decelerating</span> <span word="global">global</span> <span word="growth">growth</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="among">among</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="multiple">multiple</span> <span word="risks">risks</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="slowdown">slowdown</span>, <span word="economists">economists</span> <span word="said">said</span>.</p><p>"<span word="Real">Real</span> <span word="U">U</span>.<span word="S">S</span>. <span word="gross">gross</span> <span word="domestic">domestic</span> <span word="product">product</span> (<span word="GDP">GDP</span>) <span word="growth">growth</span> <span word="of">of</span> 2.7 <span word="percent">percent</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="forecast">forecast</span> <span word="for">for</span> 2019, <span word="slowing">slowing</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="second">second</span> <span word="half">half</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="year">year</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="effects">effects</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="fiscal">fiscal</span> <span word="stimulus">stimulus</span> <span word="begin">begin</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="fade">fade</span>," <span word="analysts">analysts</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="Bank">Bank</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="America">America</span> (<span word="BofA">BofA</span>) <span word="Merrill">Merrill</span> <span word="Lynch">Lynch</span> <span word="Global">Global</span> <span word="Research">Research</span> <span word="said">said</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="their">their</span> 2019 <span word="outlook">outlook</span> <span word="report">report</span> <span word="released">released</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="December">December</span>.</p><p><span word="The">The</span> <span word="unemployment">unemployment</span> <span word="rate">rate</span> <span word="could">could</span> <span word="reach">reach</span> <span word="a">a</span> 65-<span word="year">year</span> <span word="low">low</span> <span word="of">of</span> 3.2 <span word="percent">percent</span> <span word="by">by</span> <span word="year">year</span>-<span word="end">end</span>, <span word="pushing">pushing</span> <span word="wage">wage</span> <span word="growth">growth</span> <span word="of">of</span> 3.5 <span word="percent">percent</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="aggregate">aggregate</span>. <span word="Core">Core</span> <span word="price">price</span> <span word="inflation">inflation</span> <span word="should">should</span> <span word="gradually">gradually</span> <span word="rise">rise</span> <span word="to">to</span> 2.2 <span word="percent">percent</span> <span word="through">through</span> 2019 <span word="and">and</span> <span word="hold">hold</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="rates">rates</span> <span word="continue">continue</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="rise">rise</span>.</p><p><span word="The">The</span> <span word="housing">housing</span> <span word="market">market</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="no">no</span> <span word="longer">longer</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="tailwind">tailwind</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="U">U</span>.<span word="S">S</span>. <span word="economy">economy</span>, "<span word="we">we</span> <span word="believe">believe</span> <span word="housing">housing</span> <span word="sales">sales</span> <span word="have">have</span> <span word="peaked">peaked</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="home">home</span> <span word="price">price</span> <span word="appreciation">appreciation</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="forecast">forecast</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="slow">slow</span>," <span word="said">said</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="research">research</span> <span word="team">team</span>.</p><p><span word="SLOWING">SLOWING</span> <span word="GROWTH">GROWTH</span></p><p><span word="The">The</span> <span word="projection">projection</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="an">an</span> <span word="economic">economic</span> <span word="slowdown">slowdown</span> <span word="was">was</span> <span word="widely">widely</span> <span word="shared">shared</span> <span word="by">by</span> <span word="many">many</span> <span word="renowned">renowned</span> <span word="institutions">institutions</span>.</p><p><span word="Goldman">Goldman</span> <span word="Sachs">Sachs</span> <span word="said">said</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="November">November</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="U">U</span>.<span word="S">S</span>. <span word="GDP">GDP</span> <span word="growth">growth</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="slow">slow</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="below">below</span> 2 <span word="percent">percent</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="second">second</span> <span word="half">half</span> <span word="of">of</span> 2019, <span word="as">as</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="U">U</span>.<span word="S">S</span>. <span word="Federal">Federal</span> <span word="Reserve">Reserve</span> <span word="continues">continues</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="raise">raise</span> <span word="interest">interest</span> <span word="rates">rates</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="effects">effects</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="corporate">corporate</span> <span word="tax">tax</span> <span word="cuts">cuts</span> <span word="fade">fade</span>.</p><p>"<span word="Growth">Growth</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="likely">likely</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="slow">slow</span> <span word="significantly">significantly</span> <span word="next">next</span> <span word="year">year</span>, <span word="from">from</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="recent">recent</span> <span word="pace">pace</span> <span word="of">of</span> 3.5 <span word="percent">percent</span>-<span word="plus">plus</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="roughly">roughly</span> <span word="our">our</span> 1.75 <span word="percent">percent</span> <span word="estimate">estimate</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="potential">potential</span> <span word="by">by</span> <span word="end">end</span>-2019," <span word="wrote">wrote</span> <span word="Jan">Jan</span> <span word="Hatzius">Hatzius</span>, <span word="chief">chief</span> <span word="economist">economist</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="investment">investment</span> <span word="bank">bank</span>, <span word="in">in</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="recent">recent</span> <span word="note">note</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="clients">clients</span>.</p>
页:
[1]