不好好工作还能做点什么?
<p><span word="Three">Three</span> <span word="hours">hours</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="day">day</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="quite">quite</span> <span word="enough">enough</span>,” <span word="wrote">wrote</span> <span word="John">John</span> <span word="Maynard">Maynard</span> <span word="Keynes">Keynes</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="his">his</span> 1930 <span word="essay">essay</span> <span word="Economic">Economic</span> <span word="Possibilities">Possibilities</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="our">our</span> <span word="Grandchildren">Grandchildren</span>. <span word="The">The</span> <span word="essay">essay</span> <span word="continues">continues</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="tantalise">tantalise</span> <span word="its">its</span> <span word="readers">readers</span> <span word="today">today</span>, <span word="thanks">thanks</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="part">part</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="forecast">forecast</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="looking">looking</span> <span word="magnificently">magnificently</span> <span word="right">right</span> — <span word="that">that</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="advanced">advanced</span> <span word="economies">economies</span> <span word="people">people</span> <span word="could">could</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="up">up</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="eight">eight</span> <span word="times">times</span> <span word="better">better</span> <span word="off">off</span> <span word="in">in</span> 2030 <span word="than">than</span> <span word="in">in</span> 1930 — <span word="coupled">coupled</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="forecast">forecast</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="looking">looking</span> <span word="spectacularly">spectacularly</span> <span word="wrong">wrong</span>, <span word="that">that</span> <span word="we">we</span> <span word="would">would</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="working">working</span> 15-<span word="hour">hour</span> <span word="weeks">weeks</span>.</p><p>约翰•梅纳德•凯恩斯(<span word="John">John</span> <span word="Maynard">Maynard</span> <span word="Keynes">Keynes</span>)曾在1930年的一篇短文《我们子孙后代的经济可能性》(<span word="Economic">Economic</span> <span word="Possibilities">Possibilities</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="our">our</span> <span word="Grandchildren">Grandchildren</span>)中写道：“每天3小时就足够了。”这篇短文现在仍吸引着读者，部分原因是一项看上去极其正确的预测：到2030年，发达经济体国民的富裕程度可能会达到1930年的8倍，还有一项看上去极其错误的预测：我们将每周工作15小时。</p><p><span word="In">In</span> 2008, <span word="economists">economists</span> <span word="Lorenzo">Lorenzo</span> <span word="Pecchi">Pecchi</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="Gustavo">Gustavo</span> <span word="Piga">Piga</span> <span word="edited">edited</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="book">book</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="which">which</span> <span word="celebrated">celebrated</span> <span word="economists">economists</span> <span word="pondered">pondered</span> <span word="Keynes">Keynes</span>’<span word="s">s</span> <span word="essay">essay</span>. <span word="One">One</span> <span word="contributor">contributor</span>, <span word="Benjamin">Benjamin</span> <span word="Friedman">Friedman</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="Harvard">Harvard</span> <span word="University">University</span>, <span word="has">has</span> <span word="recently">recently</span> <span word="revisited">revisited</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="question">question</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="what">what</span> <span word="Keynes">Keynes</span> <span word="got">got</span> <span word="wrong">wrong</span>, <span word="and">and</span> <span word="produced">produced</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="thought">thought</span>-<span word="provoking">provoking</span> <span word="answer">answer</span>.</p><p>2008年，经济学家洛伦佐•佩基(<span word="Lorenzo">Lorenzo</span> <span word="Pecchi">Pecchi</span>)和古斯塔沃•皮加(<span word="Gustavo">Gustavo</span> <span word="Piga">Piga</span>)编辑了一本书，在书中，一些知名经济学家对凯恩斯的这篇短文进行了探讨。撰稿人之一、哈佛大学(<span word="Harvard">Harvard</span> <span word="University">University</span>)教授本杰明•弗里德曼(<span word="Benjamin">Benjamin</span> <span word="Friedman">Friedman</span>)最近重新提到了凯恩斯预测错的那个问题，并提出了一个发人深省的答案。</p>
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