考试利器：不会做？高效猜答案的4大招！
<p>1. <span word="Ignore">Ignore</span> <span word="conventional">conventional</span> <span word="wisdom">wisdom</span>.</p><p>抛弃传统思维。</p><p><span word="You">You</span>'<span word="ve">ve</span> <span word="probably">probably</span> <span word="been">been</span> <span word="given">given</span> <span word="test">test</span>-<span word="taking">taking</span> <span word="advice">advice</span> <span word="along">along</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="lines">lines</span> <span word="of">of</span> "<span word="always">always</span> <span word="guess">guess</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="middle">middle</span> <span word="answer">answer</span> <span word="if">if</span> <span word="you">you</span> <span word="don">don</span>'<span word="t">t</span> <span word="know">know</span>" <span word="or">or</span> "<span word="avoid">avoid</span> <span word="any">any</span> <span word="answer">answer</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="uses">uses</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="words">words</span> '<span word="never">never</span>,' '<span word="always">always</span>,' '<span word="all">all</span>,' <span word="or">or</span> '<span word="none">none</span>'" <span word="at">at</span> <span word="some">some</span> <span word="point">point</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="your">your</span> <span word="life">life</span>. <span word="However">However</span>, <span word="according">according</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="Poundstone">Poundstone</span>, <span word="this">this</span> <span word="conventional">conventional</span> <span word="wisdom">wisdom</span> <span word="doesn">doesn</span>'<span word="t">t</span> <span word="hold">hold</span> <span word="up">up</span> <span word="against">against</span> <span word="statistics">statistics</span>. <span word="In">In</span> <span word="fact">fact</span>, <span word="he">he</span> <span word="found">found</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="answers">answers</span> "<span word="none">none</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="above">above</span>" <span word="or">or</span> "<span word="all">all</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="above">above</span>" <span word="were">were</span> <span word="correct">correct</span> 52% <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="time">time</span>. <span word="Choosing">Choosing</span> <span word="one">one</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="these">these</span> <span word="answers">answers</span> <span word="gives">gives</span> <span word="you">you</span> <span word="a">a</span> 90% <span word="improvement">improvement</span> <span word="over">over</span> <span word="random">random</span> <span word="guessing">guessing</span>, <span word="he">he</span> <span word="says">says</span>.</p><p>可能曾经有人建议你在应试时沿用“如果不知道，就猜中间的答案”或“避免使用 ‘从不’，‘总是’，‘全部’或者‘没有’等用词”。但是，根据庞德斯通（<span word="Poundstone">Poundstone</span>）所说，这一传统智慧不能支撑统计数据。事实上，他发现“以上都不是”或“上述所有”的回答52％的几率是正确的。他说选择这些回答中的一个会比随意猜测的正确率提高90%。</p><p>2. <span word="Look">Look</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="surrounding">surrounding</span> <span word="answers">answers</span>.</p><p>看看周围的答案。</p><p><span word="Poundstone">Poundstone</span> <span word="found">found</span> <span word="correct">correct</span> <span word="answer">answer</span> <span word="choices">choices</span> <span word="hardly">hardly</span> <span word="repeated">repeated</span> <span word="consecutively">consecutively</span>, <span word="so">so</span> <span word="looking">looking</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="answers">answers</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="questions">questions</span> <span word="you">you</span> <span word="do">do</span> <span word="know">know</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="help">help</span> <span word="you">you</span> <span word="figure">figure</span> <span word="out">out</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="ones">ones</span> <span word="you">you</span>'<span word="re">re</span> <span word="stuck">stuck</span> <span word="on">on</span>. <span word="For">For</span> <span word="example">example</span>, <span word="if">if</span> <span word="you">you</span>'<span word="re">re</span> <span word="stuck">stuck</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="question">question</span> <span word="No">No</span>. 2, <span word="but">but</span> <span word="know">know</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="answer">answer</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="No">No</span>. 1 <span word="is">is</span> <span word="A">A</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="answer">answer</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="No">No</span>. 3 <span word="is">is</span> <span word="D">D</span>, <span word="those">those</span> <span word="choices">choices</span> <span word="can">can</span> <span word="probably">probably</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="eliminated">eliminated</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="No">No</span>. 2. <span word="Of">Of</span> <span word="course">course</span>, "<span word="knowledge">knowledge</span> <span word="trumps">trumps</span> <span word="outguessing">outguessing</span>," <span word="Poundstone">Poundstone</span> <span word="reminds">reminds</span> <span word="us">us</span>. <span word="Cross">Cross</span> <span word="out">out</span> <span word="answers">answers</span> <span word="you">you</span> <span word="know">know</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="wrong">wrong</span> <span word="based">based</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="facts">facts</span> <span word="first">first</span>.</p>
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