如何在人群中认出一定会创业的人
<p><span word="If">If</span> <span word="Target">Target</span> <span word="can">can</span> <span word="figure">figure</span> <span word="out">out</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="teen">teen</span> <span word="girl">girl</span> <span word="was">was</span> <span word="pregnant">pregnant</span> <span word="before">before</span> <span word="her">her</span> <span word="father">father</span> <span word="did">did</span>, <span word="venture">venture</span> <span word="firms">firms</span> <span word="should">should</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="able">able</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="identify">identify</span> <span word="founders">founders</span> <span word="before">before</span> <span word="they">they</span> <span word="start">start</span> <span word="companies">companies</span>. <span word="All">All</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="takes">takes</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="right">right</span> <span word="data">data</span>.</p><p>既然塔吉特（<span word="Target">Target</span>）可以先于少女的父亲知道她已经怀孕，那么，风险投资公司也应该有能力在初创公司诞生之前，便锁定潜在的创始人。所需要的只是适当的数据而已。</p><p><span word="That">That</span>’<span word="s">s</span> <span word="where">where</span> <span word="venture">venture</span> <span word="capital">capital</span>—<span word="ever">ever</span> <span word="evolving">evolving</span>—<span word="is">is</span> <span word="headed">headed</span>. <span word="As">As</span> <span word="Mark">Mark</span> <span word="Susterpointed">Susterpointed</span> <span word="out">out</span> <span word="last">last</span> <span word="week">week</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="venture">venture</span> <span word="capital">capital</span> <span word="landscape">landscape</span> <span word="has">has</span> <span word="become">become</span> <span word="increasingly">increasingly</span> <span word="bifurcated">bifurcated</span>. <span word="Seed">Seed</span> <span word="funds">funds</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="springing">springing</span> <span word="up">up</span> <span word="everywhere">everywhere</span>, <span word="representing">representing</span> 67% <span word="of">of</span> <span word="all">all</span> <span word="new">new</span> <span word="funds">funds</span> <span word="created">created</span>, <span word="and">and</span> <span word="large">large</span> <span word="funds">funds</span> <span word="have">have</span> <span word="gotten">gotten</span> <span word="even">even</span> <span word="larger">larger</span>. <span word="For">For</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="early">early</span> <span word="stage">stage</span> <span word="investors">investors</span>, <span word="this">this</span> <span word="means">means</span> <span word="increased">increased</span> <span word="competition">competition</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="frothy">frothy</span> <span word="valuations">valuations</span>. <span word="By">By</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="time">time</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="founder">founder</span> <span word="sets">sets</span> <span word="out">out</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="raise">raise</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="seed">seed</span> <span word="round">round</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="startup">startup</span>’<span word="s">s</span> <span word="valuation">valuation</span> <span word="might">might</span> <span word="be">be</span> $10 <span word="million">million</span>.</p><p>这正是不断演进的风险投资行业未来的发展方向。正如马克•苏斯特上周指出的那样，风险投资行业的两极分化日益加剧。一方面，种子基金如雨后春笋般崛起，占新建基金总数的67%，另一方面，大型基金则变得日益庞大。对于早期投资者而言，这意味着竞争日益激烈，进而导致估值泡沫。等到一位公司创始人开始进行种子期融资时，其公司的估值可能已经达到1,000万美元。</p><p><span word="One">One</span> <span word="way">way</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="get">get</span> <span word="around">around</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="invest">invest</span> <span word="even">even</span> <span word="earlier">earlier</span>. <span word="Invest">Invest</span> <span word="before">before</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="company">company</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="company">company</span>. <span word="Before">Before</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="founder">founder</span> <span word="even">even</span> <span word="knows">knows</span> <span word="they">they</span>’<span word="re">re</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="founder">founder</span>. <span word="Bloomberg">Bloomberg</span> <span word="Beta">Beta</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="venture">venture</span> <span word="investment">investment</span> <span word="arm">arm</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="Bloomberg">Bloomberg</span> <span word="LP">LP</span>, <span word="has">has</span> <span word="been">been</span> <span word="doing">doing</span> <span word="this">this</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="year">year</span> <span word="now">now</span>.</p>
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