四面楚歌 苹果日子将更加难过
<p><span word="Being">Being</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="fourth">fourth</span> <span word="place">place</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="world">world</span>’<span word="s">s</span> <span word="hottest">hottest</span> <span word="technology">technology</span> <span word="market">market</span> <span word="turns">turns</span> <span word="out">out</span> <span word="not">not</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="winning">winning</span> <span word="proposition">proposition</span>. <span word="But">But</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="third">third</span> <span word="much">much</span> <span word="better">better</span>? <span word="And">And</span> <span word="might">might</span> <span word="even">even</span> <span word="second">second</span> <span word="place">place</span> <span word="become">become</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="less">less</span> <span word="comfortable">comfortable</span> <span word="spot">spot</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="in">in</span>?</p><p>事实证明，在全球最火热的科技市场名列第四不算站稳脚跟。然而，难道第三名就会好得多？有没有可能连第二名也会变得不那么舒服？</p><p><span word="Those">Those</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="inevitable">inevitable</span> <span word="questions">questions</span> <span word="prompted">prompted</span> <span word="by">by</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="news">news</span> <span word="this">this</span> <span word="week">week</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="BlackBerry">BlackBerry</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="ready">ready</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="throw">throw</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="towel">towel</span>. <span word="As">As</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="all">all</span> <span word="giant">giant</span> <span word="markets">markets</span>, <span word="it">it</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="tempting">tempting</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="think">think</span> <span word="there">there</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="room">room</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="several">several</span> <span word="players">players</span>, <span word="some">some</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="them">them</span> <span word="thriving">thriving</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="small">small</span> <span word="market">market</span> <span word="shares">shares</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="niche">niche</span> <span word="strategies">strategies</span>.</p><p>以上是最近黑莓(<span word="BlackBerry">BlackBerry</span>)准备认输的资讯传出后不可避免会引发的疑问。与所有规模巨大的市场一样，人们会忍不住认为市场有足够空间容纳多个玩家，其中一些借助小众战略和很小的市场份额，发展得欣欣向荣。</p><p><span word="But">But</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="competitiveness">competitiveness</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="technology">technology</span> <span word="ecosystems">ecosystems</span> <span word="depends">depends</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="their">their</span> <span word="relative">relative</span>, <span word="not">not</span> <span word="absolute">absolute</span>, <span word="scale">scale</span>. <span word="Some">Some</span> 80 <span word="per">per</span> <span word="cent">cent</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="handsets">handsets</span> <span word="shipped">shipped</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="second">second</span> <span word="quarter">quarter</span> <span word="ran">ran</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="Android">Android</span>, <span word="according">according</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="latest">latest</span> <span word="figures">figures</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="IDC">IDC</span>. <span word="Even">Even</span> <span word="if">if</span> <span word="many">many</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="those">those</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="low">low</span>-<span word="end">end</span> <span word="devices">devices</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="incompatibility">incompatibility</span> <span word="between">between</span> <span word="them">them</span> <span word="continues">continues</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="make">make</span> <span word="life">life</span> <span word="hard">hard</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="developers">developers</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Android">Android</span> <span word="ecosystem">ecosystem</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="starting">starting</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="exert">exert</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="powerful">powerful</span> <span word="pull">pull</span>.</p><p>然而科技生态系统的竞争力取决于相对而不是绝对规模。根据<span word="IDC">IDC</span>的最新数据，二季度出货的手机中大约80%安装的是安卓(<span word="Android">Android</span>)系统。就算这些手机中许多只是低端手机，手机之间的不兼容性继续令开发者头疼，但安卓的生态系统已开始产生强大吸引力。</p>
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