2030年中国将面临用水危机
<p><span word="After">After</span> <span word="each">each</span> <span word="Presidential">Presidential</span> <span word="election">election</span>, <span word="The">The</span> <span word="National">National</span> <span word="Intelligence">Intelligence</span> <span word="Council">Council</span> (<span word="NIC">NIC</span>), <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Washington">Washington</span>, <span word="D">D</span>.<span word="C">C</span>., <span word="agency">agency</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="provides">provides</span> <span word="long">long</span>-<span word="term">term</span> <span word="strategic">strategic</span> <span word="analysis">analysis</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="America">America</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="intelligence">intelligence</span> <span word="community">community</span>, <span word="releases">releases</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="report">report</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="security">security</span> <span word="risks">risks</span>. <span word="Its">Its</span> <span word="newest">newest</span> <span word="report">report</span>, <span word="issued">issued</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="December">December</span> 10<span word="th">th</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="called">called</span> <span word="Global">Global</span> <span word="Trends">Trends</span> 2030: <span word="Alternative">Alternative</span> <span word="Worlds">Worlds</span>, <span word="covers">covers</span> <span word="many">many</span> <span word="topics">topics</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="cross">cross</span>-<span word="border">border</span> <span word="conflict">conflict</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="terrorism">terrorism</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="regional">regional</span> <span word="economic">economic</span> <span word="collapse">collapse</span>.</p><p>每次总统大选结束后，位于华盛顿特区的美国国家情报委员会（<span word="The">The</span> <span word="National">National</span> <span word="Intelligence">Intelligence</span> <span word="Council">Council</span>，<span word="NIC">NIC</span>）都会发布一份关于安全风险的报告，为美国情报界提供长期战略分析。该委员会于12月10日发布了最新报告《2030年全球趋势：不一样的世界》（<span word="Global">Global</span> <span word="Trends">Trends</span> 2030: <span word="Alternative">Alternative</span> <span word="Worlds">Worlds</span>），其中涉及跨边境冲突、恐怖主义和区域经济崩溃等诸多话题。</p><p><span word="One">One</span> <span word="theme">theme</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="particular">particular</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="stands">stands</span> <span word="out">out</span> <span word="this">this</span> <span word="year">year</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="coming">coming</span> <span word="food">food</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="water">water</span> <span word="crisis">crisis</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="China">China</span>. <span word="According">According</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="report">report</span>, <span word="climate">climate</span> <span word="change">change</span> <span word="coupled">coupled</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="China">China</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="move">move</span> <span word="toward">toward</span> <span word="urbanization">urbanization</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="middle">middle</span> <span word="class">class</span> <span word="lifestyles">lifestyles</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="create">create</span> <span word="huge">huge</span> <span word="water">water</span> <span word="demand">demand</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="therefore">therefore</span> <span word="crop">crop</span> <span word="shortages">shortages</span> <span word="by">by</span> 2030. <span word="As">As</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="report">report</span> <span word="states">states</span>: "<span word="Water">Water</span> <span word="may">may</span> <span word="become">become</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="more">more</span> <span word="significant">significant</span> <span word="source">source</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="contention">contention</span> <span word="than">than</span> <span word="energy">energy</span> <span word="or">or</span> <span word="minerals">minerals</span> <span word="out">out</span> <span word="to">to</span> 2030."</p><p>其中有一个主题尤为引人注意，即中国可能面临的粮食与水资源危机。报告称，气候变化，加上中国的城市化进程和中产阶级生活方式的兴起，至2030年，中国将产生巨大的用水需求以及伴随而来的粮食短缺。报告中写道：“到2030年，水将成为比能源或矿产更为抢手的资源。”</p>
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