meili 发表于 2022-10-18 21:26:33

标准普尔:美国跌落“财政悬崖”的概率为15%

<p><span word="S">S</span>&<span word="P">P</span>: 15 <span word="Percent">Percent</span> <span word="Chance">Chance</span> <span word="US">US</span> <span word="Goes">Goes</span> <span word="Off">Off</span> '<span word="Fiscal">Fiscal</span> <span word="Cliff">Cliff</span>'</p><p>标准普尔:美国跌落“财政悬崖”的概率为15%</p><p><span word="Standard">Standard</span> & <span word="Poor">Poor</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="Thursday">Thursday</span> <span word="said">said</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="sees">sees</span> <span word="an">an</span> <span word="increasing">increasing</span> <span word="chance">chance</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="U">U</span>.<span word="S">S</span>. <span word="economy">economy</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="go">go</span> <span word="over">over</span> <span word="the">the</span> “<span word="fiscal">fiscal</span> <span word="cliff">cliff</span>” <span word="next">next</span> <span word="year">year</span>, <span word="though">though</span> <span word="policymakers">policymakers</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="probably">probably</span> <span word="compromise">compromise</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="time">time</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="avoid">avoid</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="outcome">outcome</span>.</p><p>周四,标准普尔(标普)公布的报告指出,美国经济在明年跌落“财政悬崖”的可能性却越来越大,不过美国的决策者们可能会及时做出让步,来避免这样的结果。</p><p><span word="Analysts">Analysts</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="credit">credit</span> <span word="ratings">ratings</span> <span word="agency">agency</span> <span word="now">now</span> <span word="see">see</span> <span word="about">about</span> <span word="a">a</span> 15 <span word="percent">percent</span> <span word="chance">chance</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="political">political</span> <span word="brinkmanship">brinkmanship</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="push">push</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="U">U</span>.<span word="S">S</span>. <span word="economy">economy</span> — <span word="the">the</span> <span word="world">world</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="largest">largest</span> — <span word="over">over</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="fiscal">fiscal</span> <span word="cliff">cliff</span>.</p><p>该信用评级机构的分析人士日前指出,作为世界最大的经济体,美国因政治边缘政策而跌落“财政悬崖”的可能性约为15%。</p><p>“<span word="The">The</span> <span word="most">most</span> <span word="likely">likely</span> <span word="scenario">scenario</span>, <span word="in">in</span> <span word="our">our</span> <span word="view">view</span>, <span word="is">is</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="policymakers">policymakers</span> <span word="reach">reach</span> <span word="sufficient">sufficient</span> <span word="political">political</span> <span word="compromise">compromise</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="time">time</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="avoid">avoid</span> <span word="most">most</span>, <span word="if">if</span> <span word="not">not</span> <span word="all">all</span>, <span word="potential">potential</span> <span word="economic">economic</span> <span word="effects">effects</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="cliff">cliff</span>,” <span word="S">S</span>&<span word="P">P</span> <span word="analysts">analysts</span> <span word="wrote">wrote</span>.</p><p>标普的分析师们这样写道,“我们认为,最可能发生的是,决策者们或可达成充分的政治让步,这样即便不能完全化解,也至少可以避免大部分因财政危机而引发的潜在的不良经济效应。”</p><p><span word="The">The</span> <span word="automatic">automatic</span> <span word="spending">spending</span> <span word="cuts">cuts</span> <span word="coupled">coupled</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="significant">significant</span> <span word="tax">tax</span> <span word="increases">increases</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="January">January</span> <span word="could">could</span> <span word="take">take</span> <span word="an">an</span> <span word="estimated">estimated</span> $600 <span word="billion">billion</span> <span word="out">out</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="U">U</span>.<span word="S">S</span>. <span word="economy">economy</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="push">push</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="into">into</span> <span word="recession">recession</span>, <span word="according">according</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="non">non</span>-<span word="partisan">partisan</span> <span word="Congressional">Congressional</span> <span word="Budget">Budget</span> <span word="Office">Office</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="assessment">assessment</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="fiscal">fiscal</span> <span word="cliff">cliff</span>.</p>
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