怎样的美国大选结果对投资者有利?
<p><span word="Over">Over</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="next">next</span> <span word="few">few</span> <span word="weeks">weeks</span>, <span word="investors">investors</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="bombarded">bombarded</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="commentary">commentary</span> <span word="about">about</span> <span word="how">how</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="outcome">outcome</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="presidential">presidential</span> <span word="election">election</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="influence">influence</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="financial">financial</span> <span word="markets">markets</span>.</p><p>未来几周，投资者将会被大量研究结果淹没，这些研究试图分析美国总统大选结果将如何影响金融市场。</p><p><span word="Before">Before</span> <span word="you">you</span> <span word="even">even</span> <span word="consider">consider</span> <span word="changing">changing</span> <span word="your">your</span> <span word="portfolio">portfolio</span> <span word="based">based</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="expected">expected</span>-<span word="or">or</span> <span word="actual">actual</span>-<span word="results">results</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="election">election</span>, <span word="it">it</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="vital">vital</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="analyze">analyze</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="conventional">conventional</span> <span word="wisdom">wisdom</span> <span word="first">first</span>.</p><p>在你根据美国大选的预期或实际结果考虑调整投资组合之前，很有必要先分析一下“传统智慧”</p><p><span word="Is">Is</span> <span word="gridlock">gridlock</span> <span word="good">good</span>-<span word="that">that</span> <span word="is">is</span>, <span word="should">should</span> <span word="investors">investors</span> <span word="root">root</span> <span word="against">against</span> <span word="having">having</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="same">same</span> <span word="political">political</span> <span word="party">party</span> <span word="control">control</span> <span word="both">both</span> <span word="Congress">Congress</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="White">White</span> <span word="House">House</span>? <span word="Who">Who</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="better">better</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="stock">stock</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="bond">bond</span> <span word="returns">returns</span>: <span word="Republicans">Republicans</span> <span word="or">or</span> <span word="Democrats">Democrats</span>?</p><p>僵持局面是好事吗？换句话说，投资者是否应该反对同一个政党同时控制国会和白宫？哪个政党赢得大选更有利于提高股市和债市的回报，共和党还是民主党？</p><p><span word="Most">Most</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="answers">answers</span> <span word="you">you</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="likely">likely</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="find">find</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="propaganda">propaganda</span> <span word="or">or</span> <span word="wishful">wishful</span> <span word="thinking">thinking</span>; <span word="many">many</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="flat">flat</span>-<span word="out">out</span> <span word="wrong">wrong</span>. <span word="What">What</span> <span word="matters">matters</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="changes">changes</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="interest">interest</span> <span word="rates">rates</span>, <span word="not">not</span> <span word="which">which</span> <span word="party">party</span> <span word="passes">passes</span> <span word="through">through</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="White">White</span> <span word="House">House</span> <span word="gates">gates</span>.</p><p>你可能找到的大多数答案不是宣传口号就是一厢情愿的想法，其中很多答案完全错误。你真正应该关心的是利率的变化，而不是哪个政党迈入白宫的大门。</p>
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