相信感觉的人能够预测未来
<p><span word="It">It</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="impossible">impossible</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="know">know</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="future">future</span>. <span word="We">We</span> <span word="can">can</span> <span word="guess">guess</span>, <span word="but">but</span> <span word="no">no</span> <span word="one">one</span> <span word="has">has</span> <span word="actual">actual</span> <span word="knowledge">knowledge</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="what">what</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="going">going</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="happen">happen</span> <span word="down">down</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="road">road</span>.</p><p>未来不可预知。我们可以猜测，但是没人能够真正知道未来将发生什么。</p><p><span word="But">But</span> <span word="if">if</span> <span word="you">you</span>'<span word="re">re</span> <span word="someone">someone</span> <span word="who">who</span> <span word="trusts">trusts</span> <span word="her">her</span> <span word="feelings">feelings</span>, <span word="you">you</span>'<span word="re">re</span> <span word="more">more</span> <span word="likely">likely</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="accurately">accurately</span> <span word="predict">predict</span> <span word="future">future</span> <span word="events">events</span> <span word="than">than</span> <span word="people">people</span> <span word="who">who</span> <span word="don">don</span>'<span word="t">t</span> <span word="trust">trust</span> <span word="their">their</span> <span word="feelings">feelings</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="much">much</span>.</p><p>但是如果你相信自己的感觉，你将比那些不相信自己感觉的人更可能准确预测出未来。</p><p><span word="That">That</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="conclusion">conclusion</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="recent">recent</span> <span word="study">study</span> <span word="done">done</span> <span word="by">by</span> <span word="researchers">researchers</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="Columbia">Columbia</span> <span word="Business">Business</span> <span word="School">School</span>.</p><p>上述结论是哥伦比亚商学院(微博)研究人员最近的研究结果。</p><p><span word="Through">Through</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="series">series</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="eight">eight</span> <span word="studies">studies</span> <span word="they">they</span> <span word="found">found</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="subjects">subjects</span> <span word="who">who</span> <span word="had">had</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="high">high</span> <span word="amount">amount</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="trust">trust</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="their">their</span> <span word="feelings">feelings</span> <span word="were">were</span> <span word="generally">generally</span> <span word="better">better</span> <span word="able">able</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="predict">predict</span> <span word="things">things</span> <span word="like">like</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="outcomes">outcomes</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="presidential">presidential</span> <span word="elections">elections</span>, <span word="football">football</span> <span word="games">games</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="winner">winner</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="American">American</span> <span word="Idol">Idol</span>, <span word="and">and</span> <span word="even">even</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="weather">weather</span>.</p><p>通过一系列8项研究，研究人员发现那些对自己的感受有着极高信任度的个体，大部分都能更好预测出总统选举、足球比赛、美国偶像的获胜者，甚至是天气情况。</p><p><span word="How">How</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="this">this</span> <span word="possible">possible</span>, <span word="you">you</span> <span word="ask">ask</span>?</p><p>你会问了，这怎么可能？</p><p><span word="The">The</span> <span word="best">best</span> <span word="explanation">explanation</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="known">known</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="the">the</span> "<span word="privileged">privileged</span> <span word="window">window</span>" <span word="hypothesis">hypothesis</span>. <span word="The">The</span> <span word="gist">gist</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="when">when</span> <span word="we">we</span> <span word="rely">rely</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="feelings">feelings</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="make">make</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="prediction">prediction</span>, <span word="we">we</span>'<span word="re">re</span> <span word="really">really</span> <span word="summarizing">summarizing</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="calling">calling</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="everything">everything</span> <span word="we">we</span> <span word="know">know</span> <span word="about">about</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="subject">subject</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="question">question</span>. <span word="It">It</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="similar">similar</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="what">what</span> <span word="journalist">journalist</span> <span word="Malcolm">Malcolm</span> <span word="Gladwell">Gladwell</span> <span word="wrote">wrote</span> <span word="about">about</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="his">his</span> <span word="best">best</span> <span word="selling">selling</span> <span word="book">book</span> "<span word="Blink">Blink</span>" <span word="that">that</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="more">more</span> <span word="we">we</span> <span word="know">know</span> <span word="about">about</span> <span word="something">something</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="greater">greater</span> <span word="our">our</span> <span word="ability">ability</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="make">make</span> <span word="snap">snap</span> <span word="judgments">judgments</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="predictions">predictions</span> <span word="without">without</span> <span word="thinking">thinking</span> <span word="too">too</span> <span word="much">much</span>.</p>
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