欧洲杯成“欧债杯” 金融家预测夺冠球队
<p><span word="Tired">Tired</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="constant">constant</span> <span word="barrage">barrage</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="depressing">depressing</span> <span word="headlines">headlines</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="eurozone">eurozone</span> <span word="debt">debt</span> <span word="crisis">crisis</span>, <span word="German">German</span> <span word="economists">economists</span> <span word="have">have</span> <span word="turned">turned</span> <span word="their">their</span> <span word="skills">skills</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="rather">rather</span> <span word="more">more</span> <span word="fun">fun</span> <span word="task">task</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="forecasting">forecasting</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="European">European</span> <span word="Championships">Championships</span>.</p><p><span word="Using">Using</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="variety">variety</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="tongue">tongue</span>-<span word="in">in</span>-<span word="cheek">cheek</span> <span word="models">models</span> <span word="usually">usually</span> <span word="applied">applied</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="complex">complex</span> <span word="questions">questions</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="bond">bond</span> <span word="markets">markets</span> <span word="or">or</span> <span word="credit">credit</span> <span word="default">default</span> <span word="swaps">swaps</span>, <span word="most">most</span> <span word="analysts">analysts</span> <span word="have">have</span> <span word="ended">ended</span> <span word="up">up</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="far">far</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="earth">earth</span>-<span word="shattering">shattering</span> <span word="tips">tips</span>, <span word="backing">backing</span> <span word="favourites">favourites</span> <span word="Spain">Spain</span> <span word="or">or</span> <span word="Germany">Germany</span>.</p><p><span word="The">The</span> <span word="good">good</span> <span word="news">news</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="people">people</span> <span word="concerned">concerned</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="future">future</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="euro">euro</span> <span word="area">area</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="chances">chances</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="team">team</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="the">the</span> 17-<span word="nation">nation</span> <span word="zone">zone</span> <span word="lifting">lifting</span> <span word="Europe">Europe</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="premier">premier</span> <span word="football">football</span> <span word="trophy">trophy</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="whopping">whopping</span> 86 <span word="percent">percent</span>, <span word="according">according</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="economists">economists</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="DekaBank">DekaBank</span>.</p><p><span word="Analysing">Analysing</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="results">results</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="past">past</span> <span word="four">four</span> <span word="European">European</span> <span word="Championships">Championships</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="feeding">feeding</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="into">into</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="complex">complex</span> <span word="mathematical">mathematical</span> <span word="model">model</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="economists">economists</span> <span word="came">came</span> <span word="up">up</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="prediction">prediction</span>: "<span word="Along">Along</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="Spain">Spain</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Netherlands">Netherlands</span>, <span word="Germany">Germany</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="one">one</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="favourites">favourites</span>."</p><p><span word="In">In</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="research">research</span> <span word="note">note</span> <span word="entitled">entitled</span> "<span word="Soccernomics">Soccernomics</span>", <span word="boffins">boffins</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="ABN">ABN</span> <span word="Amro">Amro</span> <span word="said">said</span> <span word="their">their</span> <span word="work">work</span> <span word="was">was</span> <span word="done">done</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="a">a</span> "<span word="quasi">quasi</span>-<span word="serious">serious</span> <span word="approach">approach</span>."</p><p>"<span word="Because">Because</span> <span word="after">after</span> <span word="all">all</span>, <span word="football">football</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="most">most</span> <span word="important">important</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="all">all</span> <span word="unimportant">unimportant</span> <span word="things">things</span>. <span word="We">We</span> <span word="certainly">certainly</span> <span word="need">need</span> <span word="some">some</span> <span word="light">light</span> <span word="relief">relief</span> <span word="these">these</span> <span word="days">days</span>. <span word="Europe">Europe</span> -- <span word="in">in</span> <span word="particular">particular</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="eurozone">eurozone</span> -- <span word="has">has</span> <span word="been">been</span> <span word="engulfed">engulfed</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="crisis">crisis</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="two">two</span> <span word="years">years</span> <span word="now">now</span>," <span word="they">they</span> <span word="added">added</span>.</p><p><span word="ABN">ABN</span> <span word="Amro">Amro</span> <span word="cross">cross</span>-<span word="checked">checked</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="country">country</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="footballing">footballing</span> <span word="record">record</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="its">its</span> <span word="credit">credit</span> <span word="rating">rating</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="concluded">concluded</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="Germany">Germany</span> <span word="would">would</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="triumphant">triumphant</span> <span word="come">come</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="final">final</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="Europe">Europe</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="top">top</span> <span word="footballing">footballing</span> <span word="competition">competition</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="July">July</span> 1.</p>
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