经纪公司称中国的威士忌泡沫越来越大
<p><span word="To">To</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Chinese">Chinese</span> <span word="stock">stock</span> <span word="market">market</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="property">property</span> <span word="bubbles">bubbles</span>, <span word="now">now</span> <span word="add">add</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="whisky">whisky</span> <span word="bubble">bubble</span>.</p><p>除股市泡沫和楼市泡沫以外，中国现在又多了一个威士忌泡沫。</p><p><span word="That">That</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="what">what</span> <span word="analysts">analysts</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="brokerage">brokerage</span> <span word="firm">firm</span> <span word="Redburn">Redburn</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="cautioning">cautioning</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="spirit">spirit</span> <span word="makers">makers</span> <span word="looking">looking</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="sell">sell</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="tipple">tipple</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="huge">huge</span> <span word="Chinese">Chinese</span> <span word="market">market</span>, <span word="and">and</span> <span word="it">it</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="not">not</span> <span word="without">without</span> <span word="precedent">precedent</span>. <span word="Japan">Japan</span> <span word="went">went</span> <span word="through">through</span> <span word="such">such</span> <span word="Scotch">Scotch</span>-<span word="fueled">fueled</span> <span word="exuberance">exuberance</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="the">the</span> 1970<span word="s">s</span> <span word="and">and</span> 1980<span word="s">s</span>, <span word="say">say</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="analysts">analysts</span>, <span word="and">and</span> <span word="spirit">spirit</span> <span word="makers">makers</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="still">still</span> <span word="haunted">haunted</span> <span word="by">by</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="hangover">hangover</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="experience">experience</span>.</p><p><span word="Agence">Agence</span> <span word="France">France</span>-<span word="Presse">Presse</span>/<span word="Getty">Getty</span> <span word="Images">Images</span>这是经纪公司<span word="Redburn">Redburn</span>的分析师向那些想在巨大的中国市场销售威士忌的酿酒公司发出的警告。这种泡沫并不是第一次出现。分析师说，日本在上世纪70年代和80年代就经历过一轮相似的威士忌狂欢，而酿酒公司至今仍对当年的宿醉记忆犹新。</p><p><span word="According">According</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="Redburn">Redburn</span>, <span word="Scotch">Scotch</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="fact">fact</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="highly">highly</span> <span word="economically">economically</span>-<span word="sensitive">sensitive</span> <span word="product">product</span>, <span word="with">with</span> <span word="demand">demand</span> <span word="closely">closely</span> <span word="tracking">tracking</span> <span word="economic">economic</span> <span word="upturns">upturns</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="downturns">downturns</span>. <span word="Following">Following</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="economic">economic</span> <span word="slump">slump</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> 1970<span word="s">s</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="West">West</span>, <span word="Scotch">Scotch</span> <span word="makers">makers</span> <span word="turned">turned</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="most">most</span> <span word="promising">promising</span> <span word="market">market</span>, <span word="Japan">Japan</span>, <span word="where">where</span> <span word="their">their</span> <span word="marketing">marketing</span> <span word="efforts">efforts</span>, <span word="and">and</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="behavior">behavior</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="newly">newly</span>-<span word="rich">rich</span> <span word="Japanese">Japanese</span> <span word="consumers">consumers</span> <span word="has">has</span> <span word="many">many</span> <span word="parallels">parallels</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Chinese">Chinese</span> <span word="market">market</span> <span word="today">today</span>.</p><p>据<span word="Redburn">Redburn</span>说，威士忌实际上是一种与经济形势息息相关的产品，需求紧紧跟随着经济的起伏而起伏。在上世纪70年代西方经济遭受重挫之后，威士忌生产商转向了最有希望的市场──日本。当时酒商的营销手段和日本新富消费者的行为跟今天的中国市场有很多相似之处。</p>
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