日学者指出日本将于1000年后灭亡
<p><span word="Japanese">Japanese</span> <span word="researchers">researchers</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="Friday">Friday</span> <span word="unveiled">unveiled</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="population">population</span> <span word="clock">clock</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="showed">showed</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="nation">nation</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="people">people</span> <span word="could">could</span> <span word="theoretically">theoretically</span> <span word="become">become</span> <span word="extinct">extinct</span> <span word="in">in</span> 1,000 <span word="years">years</span> <span word="because">because</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="declining">declining</span> <span word="birth">birth</span> <span word="rates">rates</span>.</p><p><span word="Academics">Academics</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="northern">northern</span> <span word="city">city</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="Sendai">Sendai</span> <span word="said">said</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="Japan">Japan</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="population">population</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="children">children</span> <span word="aged">aged</span> <span word="up">up</span> <span word="to">to</span> 14, <span word="which">which</span> <span word="now">now</span> <span word="stands">stands</span> <span word="at">at</span> 16.6 <span word="million">million</span>, <span word="is">is</span> <span word="shrinking">shrinking</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="rate">rate</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="one">one</span> <span word="every">every</span> 100 <span word="seconds">seconds</span>.</p><p><span word="Their">Their</span> <span word="extrapolations">extrapolations</span> <span word="pointed">pointed</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="Japan">Japan</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="no">no</span> <span word="children">children</span> <span word="left">left</span> <span word="within">within</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="millennium">millennium</span>.</p><p>"<span word="If">If</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="rate">rate</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="decline">decline</span> <span word="continues">continues</span>, <span word="we">we</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="able">able</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="celebrate">celebrate</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Children">Children</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="Day">Day</span> <span word="public">public</span> <span word="holiday">holiday</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="May">May</span> 5, 3011 <span word="as">as</span> <span word="there">there</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="one">one</span> <span word="child">child</span>," <span word="said">said</span> <span word="Hiroshi">Hiroshi</span> <span word="Yoshida">Yoshida</span>, <span word="an">an</span> <span word="economics">economics</span> <span word="professor">professor</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="Tohoku">Tohoku</span> <span word="University">University</span>.</p><p>"<span word="But">But</span> 100 <span word="seconds">seconds</span> <span word="later">later</span> <span word="there">there</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="no">no</span> <span word="children">children</span> <span word="left">left</span>," <span word="he">he</span> <span word="said">said</span>. "<span word="The">The</span> <span word="overall">overall</span> <span word="trend">trend</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="towards">towards</span> <span word="extinction">extinction</span>, <span word="which">which</span> <span word="started">started</span> <span word="in">in</span> 1975 <span word="when">when</span> <span word="Japan">Japan</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="fertility">fertility</span> <span word="rate">rate</span> <span word="fell">fell</span> <span word="below">below</span> <span word="two">two</span>."</p><p><span word="Yoshida">Yoshida</span> <span word="said">said</span> <span word="he">he</span> <span word="created">created</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="population">population</span> <span word="clock">clock</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="encourage">encourage</span> "<span word="urgent">urgent</span>" <span word="discussion">discussion</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="issue">issue</span>.</p><p><span word="Another">Another</span> <span word="study">study</span> <span word="released">released</span> <span word="earlier">earlier</span> <span word="this">this</span> <span word="year">year</span> <span word="showed">showed</span> <span word="Japan">Japan</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="population">population</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="expected">expected</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="shrink">shrink</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="third">third</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="its">its</span> <span word="current">current</span> 127.7 <span word="million">million</span> <span word="over">over</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="next">next</span> <span word="century">century</span>.</p><p><span word="Government">Government</span> <span word="projections">projections</span> <span word="show">show</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="birth">birth</span> <span word="rate">rate</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="hit">hit</span> <span word="just">just</span> 1.35 <span word="children">children</span> <span word="per">per</span> <span word="woman">woman</span> <span word="within">within</span> 50 <span word="years">years</span>, <span word="well">well</span> <span word="below">below</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="replacement">replacement</span> <span word="rate">rate</span>.</p><p><span word="Meanwhile">Meanwhile</span>, <span word="life">life</span> <span word="expectancy">expectancy</span> -- <span word="already">already</span> <span word="one">one</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="highest">highest</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="world">world</span> -- <span word="is">is</span> <span word="expected">expected</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="rise">rise</span> <span word="from">from</span> 86.39 <span word="years">years</span> <span word="in">in</span> 2010 <span word="to">to</span> 90.93 <span word="years">years</span> <span word="in">in</span> 2060 <span word="for">for</span> <span word="women">women</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="from">from</span> 79.64 <span word="years">years</span> <span word="to">to</span> 84.19 <span word="years">years</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="men">men</span>.</p>
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