巴菲特公开信认错 股神误判楼市错得离谱
<p><span word="Billionaire">Billionaire</span> <span word="investor">investor</span> <span word="Warren">Warren</span> <span word="Buffett">Buffett</span> <span word="said">said</span> <span word="Saturday">Saturday</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="he">he</span> <span word="was">was</span> "<span word="dead">dead</span> <span word="wrong">wrong</span>" <span word="with">with</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="prediction">prediction</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="U">U</span>.<span word="S">S</span>. <span word="housing">housing</span> <span word="market">market</span> <span word="would">would</span> <span word="begin">begin</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="recover">recover</span> <span word="by">by</span> <span word="now">now</span>, <span word="but">but</span> <span word="he">he</span> <span word="remains">remains</span> <span word="optimistic">optimistic</span> <span word="about">about</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="nation">nation</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="economy">economy</span>.</p><p>股神巴菲特周六在致伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司股东的公开信中认错，表示自己在去年对美国房地产市场的复苏判断“错得离谱”。但他表示还是对美国的经济持乐观态度。</p><p><span word="In">In</span> <span word="his">his</span> <span word="annual">annual</span> <span word="letter">letter</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="Berkshire">Berkshire</span> <span word="Hathaway">Hathaway</span> <span word="shareholders">shareholders</span>, <span word="Buffett">Buffett</span> <span word="said">said</span> <span word="he">he</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="sure">sure</span> <span word="housing">housing</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="recover">recover</span> <span word="eventually">eventually</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="help">help</span> <span word="bring">bring</span> <span word="down">down</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="nation">nation</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="unemployment">unemployment</span> <span word="rate">rate</span>. <span word="But">But</span> <span word="he">he</span> <span word="did">did</span> <span word="not">not</span> <span word="predict">predict</span> <span word="when">when</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="happen">happen</span>.</p><p>在致伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司股东的年度报告中，巴菲特表示他相信房地产最终会复苏，并降低美国的失业率。但他没有预测楼市复苏将在何时出现。</p><p><span word="Buffett">Buffett</span> <span word="said">said</span> <span word="housing">housing</span> "<span word="remains">remains</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="depression">depression</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="its">its</span> <span word="own">own</span>," <span word="but">but</span> <span word="he">he</span> <span word="predicted">predicted</span>, <span word="in">in</span> <span word="typical">typical</span> <span word="plainspoken">plainspoken</span> <span word="style">style</span>, <span word="that">that</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="housing">housing</span> <span word="market">market</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="come">come</span> <span word="back">back</span> <span word="because">because</span> <span word="some">some</span> <span word="human">human</span> <span word="factors">factors</span> <span word="can">can</span>'<span word="t">t</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="denied">denied</span> <span word="forever">forever</span>.</p><p>巴菲特在公开信中承认目前楼市“ 还是很低迷”，但他还是直言不讳地预测，因为人为因素的影响，房地产市场还是终究会复兴起来。</p><p><span word="The">The</span> <span word="housing">housing</span> <span word="prediction">prediction</span> <span word="proved">proved</span> <span word="painful">painful</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="Berkshire">Berkshire</span> <span word="Hathaway">Hathaway</span>. <span word="It">It</span> <span word="owns">owns</span> <span word="more">more</span> <span word="than">than</span> 80 <span word="subsidiaries">subsidiaries</span>, <span word="including">including</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Geico">Geico</span> <span word="insurance">insurance</span> <span word="company">company</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="See">See</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="Candy">Candy</span>, <span word="and">and</span> <span word="five">five</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="them">them</span> <span word="depend">depend</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="construction">construction</span> <span word="activity">activity</span>.</p>
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