微博预测股市晴雨 准确率可达八成
<p><span word="Millions">Millions</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="messages">messages</span> <span word="about">about</span> <span word="trivial">trivial</span> <span word="matters">matters</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="posted">posted</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="Twitter">Twitter</span> <span word="every">every</span> <span word="day">day</span>, <span word="but">but</span> <span word="one">one</span> <span word="group">group</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="hedge">hedge</span> <span word="fund">fund</span> <span word="managers">managers</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="using">using</span> <span word="them">them</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="crystal">crystal</span> <span word="ball">ball</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="market">market</span> <span word="fluctuations">fluctuations</span> - <span word="and">and</span> <span word="it">it</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="having">having</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="big">big</span> <span word="impact">impact</span>.</p><p>很多无关紧要的事情每天都会在微博客上，但是却有一组套保基金的管理人员将它用作预测市场波动的水晶球，并且，影响巨大。</p><p><span word="Analysts">Analysts</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="London">London</span>’<span word="s">s</span> <span word="Derwent">Derwent</span> <span word="Capital">Capital</span> <span word="Markets">Markets</span> - <span word="described">described</span> <span word="as">as</span> '<span word="Europe">Europe</span>'<span word="s">s</span> <span word="first">first</span> <span word="social">social</span> <span word="media">media</span>-<span word="based">based</span> <span word="hedge">hedge</span> <span word="fund">fund</span>' - <span word="has">has</span> <span word="launched">launched</span> <span word="a">a</span> ?25<span word="million">million</span> <span word="fund">fund</span> <span word="based">based</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="research">research</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="suggests">suggests</span> <span word="tweets">tweets</span> <span word="foretell">foretell</span> <span word="whether">whether</span> <span word="markets">markets</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="go">go</span> <span word="up">up</span> <span word="or">or</span> <span word="down">down</span>.</p><p>在被描述为欧洲第一的社会媒体的伦敦达文特资本市场的分析家发起了一个2500万的立足于研究的微博客能否真正预测市场走向的基金。</p><p><span word="It">It</span> <span word="shows">shows</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="if">if</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="mood">mood</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="population">population</span> <span word="goes">goes</span> <span word="up">up</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="market">market</span> <span word="follows">follows</span>. <span word="The">The</span> <span word="Mayfair">Mayfair</span> <span word="company">company</span> <span word="use">use</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="program">program</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="scans">scans</span> <span word="Twitter">Twitter</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="keywords">keywords</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="work">work</span> <span word="out">out</span> <span word="what">what</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="world">world</span>'<span word="s">s</span> '<span word="mood">mood</span>' <span word="is">is</span> - <span word="and">and</span> <span word="invest">invest</span> <span word="money">money</span> <span word="accordingly">accordingly</span>. <span word="And">And</span> <span word="so">so</span> <span word="far">far</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="results">results</span> <span word="have">have</span> <span word="been">been</span> <span word="positive">positive</span>.</p><p>它显示出如果人们的情绪呈上升趋势，那市场亦同。梅菲尔公司运用了一个能监视微博客关键词的程序，希望用这个能看到世界情绪的变化，然后相应的进行资金投资。并且到目前为止情况都很乐观。</p><p><span word="The">The</span> <span word="Twitter">Twitter</span>-<span word="analysis">analysis</span> <span word="program">program</span> <span word="was">was</span> <span word="written">written</span> <span word="by">by</span> <span word="Johan">Johan</span> <span word="Bollen">Bollen</span>, <span word="professor">professor</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="informatics">informatics</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="computing">computing</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="Indiana">Indiana</span> <span word="University">University</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="he">he</span> <span word="used">used</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="predict">predict</span> <span word="market">market</span> <span word="movements">movements</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Dow">Dow</span> <span word="Jones">Jones</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="New">New</span> <span word="York">York</span> <span word="with">with</span> 87.6 <span word="per">per</span> <span word="cent">cent</span> <span word="accuracy">accuracy</span> <span word="last">last</span> <span word="October">October</span>.</p>
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