当中国成为世界第一大经济体
<p><span word="How">How</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="feel">feel</span> <span word="when">when</span> <span word="China">China</span> <span word="becomes">becomes</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="world">world</span>’<span word="s">s</span> <span word="largest">largest</span> <span word="economy">economy</span>? <span word="We">We</span> <span word="may">may</span> <span word="find">find</span> <span word="out">out</span> <span word="quite">quite</span> <span word="soon">soon</span>. <span word="A">A</span> <span word="few">few</span> <span word="weeks">weeks</span> <span word="ago">ago</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="International">International</span> <span word="Monetary">Monetary</span> <span word="Fund">Fund</span> <span word="issued">issued</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="report">report</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="suggested">suggested</span> <span word="China">China</span> <span word="would">would</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="number">number</span> <span word="one">one</span> <span word="within">within</span> <span word="five">five</span> <span word="years">years</span>.</p><p>当中国成为世界上最大的经济体时，我们会有什么感受？答案不用多久就会揭晓．几周前， 国际货币基金组织发布一项报告指出，中国将会在五年内成为世界第一大经济体．</p><p><span word="The">The</span> <span word="projection">projection</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Chinese">Chinese</span> <span word="economy">economy</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="larger">larger</span> <span word="than">than</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="US">US</span> <span word="by">by</span> 2016 <span word="included">included</span> <span word="adjustments">adjustments</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="domestic">domestic</span> <span word="purchasing">purchasing</span> <span word="power">power</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="two">two</span> <span word="countries">countries</span>’ <span word="currencies">currencies</span>. <span word="Some">Some</span> <span word="regard">regard</span> <span word="this">this</span> <span word="interpretation">interpretation</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="IMF">IMF</span> <span word="data">data</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="dubious">dubious</span> <span word="move">move</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="artificially">artificially</span> <span word="boosts">boosts</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="size">size</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Chinese">Chinese</span> <span word="economy">economy</span>. <span word="But">But</span> <span word="even">even</span> <span word="using">using</span> <span word="real">real</span> <span word="exchange">exchange</span> <span word="rates">rates</span> <span word="does">does</span> <span word="not">not</span> <span word="defer">defer</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="day">day</span> <span word="when">when</span> <span word="America">America</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="knocked">knocked</span> <span word="off">off</span> <span word="its">its</span> <span word="perch">perch</span> <span word="by">by</span> <span word="very">very</span> <span word="much">much</span>. <span word="A">A</span> <span word="projection">projection</span> <span word="by">by</span> <span word="The">The</span> <span word="Economist">Economist</span>, <span word="made">made</span> <span word="just">just</span> <span word="before">before</span> <span word="Christmas">Christmas</span>, <span word="foresaw">foresaw</span> <span word="China">China</span> <span word="becoming">becoming</span> <span word="number">number</span> <span word="one">one</span> <span word="in">in</span> 2019.</p><p>对于中国经济会在２０１６年前超越美国经济的预测包括了对两国货币购买力的调整．一些人认为，ＩＭＦ公布的数据在理解上存在一定的问题，这些数据会人为地夸大中国经济的规模．但是就算用真实汇率计算，美国的经济霸主地位被取代的日子也不会远多少．＜＜经济学人＞＞在去年圣诞前预测，中国会在２０１９年成为世界第一大经济体．</p><p><span word="The">The</span> <span word="ascent">ascent</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="China">China</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="change">change</span> <span word="ideas">ideas</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="what">what</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="means">means</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="superpower">superpower</span>. <span word="Over">Over</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="course">course</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="American">American</span> <span word="century">century</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="world">world</span> <span word="has">has</span> <span word="got">got</span> <span word="used">used</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="idea">idea</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="world">world</span>’<span word="s">s</span> <span word="largest">largest</span> <span word="economy">economy</span> <span word="was">was</span> <span word="also">also</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="world">world</span>’<span word="s">s</span> <span word="most">most</span> <span word="obviously">obviously</span> <span word="affluent">affluent</span> <span word="nation">nation</span>. <span word="The">The</span> <span word="world">world</span>’<span word="s">s</span> <span word="biggest">biggest</span> <span word="economy">economy</span> <span word="housed">housed</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="world">world</span>’<span word="s">s</span> <span word="richest">richest</span> <span word="people">people</span>.</p>
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