关注社会:中国通胀溯源
<p>通货膨胀已成为当下中国的首要话题之一，也几乎人人都能给出一番解释，例如货币超发、“输入性通胀”、“结构性通胀”等等。但6月10日，在青岛举办的国际金融高峰论坛上，北京大学国家发展研究院院长周其仁教授，却对中国通胀成因做了一番别有新意的解读。</p><p><span word="Inflation">Inflation</span> <span word="has">has</span> <span word="become">become</span> <span word="one">one</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="focal">focal</span> <span word="topics">topics</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="China">China</span> <span word="recently">recently</span>. <span word="Almost">Almost</span> <span word="everyone">everyone</span> <span word="has">has</span> <span word="his">his</span> <span word="or">or</span> <span word="her">her</span> <span word="own">own</span> <span word="say">say</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="this">this</span> <span word="issue">issue</span> <span word="such">such</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="excess">excess</span> <span word="currency">currency</span> <span word="issuance">issuance</span>, “<span word="imported">imported</span> <span word="inflation">inflation</span>”, “<span word="structural">structural</span> <span word="inflation">inflation</span>”, <span word="etc">etc</span>. <span word="But">But</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Qingdao">Qingdao</span> <span word="International">International</span> <span word="Finance">Finance</span> <span word="Forum">Forum</span> <span word="held">held</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="June">June</span> 10<span word="th">th</span>, <span word="Zhou">Zhou</span> <span word="Qiren">Qiren</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="dean">dean</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="professor">professor</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="National">National</span> <span word="Development">Development</span> <span word="Research">Research</span> <span word="Institute">Institute</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="Peking">Peking</span> <span word="University">University</span>, <span word="made">made</span> <span word="some">some</span> <span word="innovative">innovative</span> <span word="interpretations">interpretations</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="causes">causes</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="inflation">inflation</span>.</p><p>周其仁认为，可通过两个角度认识通胀，一个是物价角度，一个是货币角度。物价角度观察通胀，只能看到现象，最终找不到根源和解决办法，相应地，如果以管控物价作为应对通胀的措施，最后不但不会实现效果，还会顾此失彼。他引用已故美国经济学家米尔顿?弗里德曼的话说，通胀是一种货币现象，应该从货币的角度来认识，也应通过货币的途经解决。</p><p><span word="Zhou">Zhou</span> <span word="believes">believes</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="inflation">inflation</span> <span word="can">can</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="interpreted">interpreted</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="two">two</span> <span word="perspectives">perspectives</span>: <span word="one">one</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="price">price</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="goods">goods</span>, <span word="and">and</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="other">other</span> <span word="currency">currency</span>. <span word="From">From</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="perspective">perspective</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="price">price</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="goods">goods</span>, <span word="we">we</span> <span word="can">can</span> <span word="only">only</span> <span word="see">see</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="increasing">increasing</span> <span word="nonstop">nonstop</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="can">can</span> <span word="barely">barely</span> <span word="work">work</span> <span word="out">out</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="root">root</span> <span word="causes">causes</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="practical">practical</span> <span word="solutions">solutions</span>. <span word="Accordingly">Accordingly</span>, <span word="if">if</span> <span word="we">we</span> <span word="take">take</span> <span word="price">price</span> <span word="control">control</span> <span word="measures">measures</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="counter">counter</span> <span word="inflation">inflation</span>, <span word="we">we</span> <span word="may">may</span> <span word="not">not</span> <span word="only">only</span> <span word="fail">fail</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="achieve">achieve</span> <span word="expected">expected</span> <span word="results">results</span>, <span word="but">but</span> <span word="also">also</span> <span word="stir">stir</span> <span word="other">other</span> <span word="well">well</span>-<span word="ongoing">ongoing</span> <span word="plans">plans</span>. <span word="He">He</span> <span word="quoted">quoted</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="late">late</span> <span word="U">U</span>.<span word="S">S</span>. <span word="economist">economist</span> <span word="Milton">Milton</span> ? <span word="Friedman">Friedman</span>’<span word="s">s</span> <span word="words">words</span>: <span word="Inflation">Inflation</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="monetary">monetary</span> <span word="phenomenon">phenomenon</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="should">should</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="viewed">viewed</span> <span word="not">not</span> <span word="only">only</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="perspective">perspective</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="currency">currency</span> <span word="itself">itself</span>, <span word="but">but</span> <span word="also">also</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="perspective">perspective</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="its">its</span> <span word="passing">passing</span> <span word="courses">courses</span>.</p>
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