meili 发表于 2022-10-18 19:40:46

伊朗与其核计划

<p>  2015复习正是强化复习阶段,在考研英语中占了40分,所以考研英语阅读是英语科目中重要的一项。名师老师曾建议过考研生需要坚持每天泛读10-15分钟的英文原刊。强烈推荐了杂志《经济学人》.杂志中的文章也是考研英语的主要材料来源.希望考研考生认真阅读,快速提高考研英语阅读水平。  <span word="Iran">Iran</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="its">its</span> <span word="nuclear">nuclear</span> <span word="plans">plans</span>  伊朗与其核计划  <span word="Time">Time</span> <span word="out">out</span>  对话暂停  <span word="The">The</span> <span word="West">West</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="Iran">Iran</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="negotiate">negotiate</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="four">four</span> <span word="moremonths">moremonths</span>, <span word="but">but</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="gap">gap</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="wide">wide</span>  西方与伊朗将全面谈判对话延长四个月,但双方分歧很大  <span word="AFTER">AFTER</span> <span word="some">some</span> <span word="unconvincing">unconvincing</span> <span word="last">last</span>-<span word="minutebrinkmanship">minutebrinkmanship</span>, <span word="Iran">Iran</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="six">six</span> <span word="world">world</span> <span word="powers">powers</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="negotiating">negotiating</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="decided">decided</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="July">July</span> 18<span word="th">th</span> <span word="toextend">toextend</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="deadline">deadline</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="an">an</span> <span word="agreement">agreement</span> <span word="by">by</span> <span word="four">four</span> <span word="months">months</span>. <span word="The">The</span> <span word="negotiators">negotiators</span>, <span word="seeking">seeking</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="secure">secure</span> <span word="adeal">adeal</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="curb">curb</span> <span word="Iran">Iran</span> <span word="s">s</span> <span word="nuclear">nuclear</span> <span word="programme">programme</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="exchange">exchange</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="removal">removal</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="sanctions">sanctions</span>, <span word="are">are</span> <span word="takinga">takinga</span> <span word="break">break</span> <span word="until">until</span> <span word="September">September</span>. <span word="Then">Then</span> <span word="they">they</span> <span word="have">have</span> <span word="until">until</span> <span word="November">November</span> 24<span word="th">th</span>, <span word="exactly">exactly</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="year">year</span> <span word="after">after</span> <span word="thesigning">thesigning</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="joint">joint</span> <span word="plan">plan</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="action">action</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="first">first</span> <span word="set">set</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="ball">ball</span> <span word="rolling">rolling</span>, <span word="to">to</span> <span word="find">find</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="permanentsolution">permanentsolution</span>.  在一些难以令人信服的边缘政策出台之后,伊朗和六国7月18日决定将对话延长四个月。谈判方希望能通过一个协定,以解除制裁伊朗来换取停止伊朗核项目。现在,双方对话暂停,于9月重新启动,并将持续到11月24日,这个日子自签订联合行动计划,也就是第一次开始对话以寻求永恒的解决办法以来,刚好整整一年。  <span word="In">In</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="meantime">meantime</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="provisions">provisions</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="six">six</span>-<span word="month">month</span> <span word="interim">interim</span> <span word="deal">deal</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="came">came</span> <span word="into">into</span> <span word="force">force</span> <span word="onJanuary">onJanuary</span> 20<span word="th">th</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="stay">stay</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="place">place</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="few">few</span> <span word="minor">minor</span> <span word="tweaks">tweaks</span>. <span word="Iran">Iran</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="take">take</span> <span word="another">another</span> <span word="step">step</span> <span word="towardsneutralising">towardsneutralising</span> <span word="its">its</span> <span word="stockpile">stockpile</span> <span word="of">of</span> 20%-<span word="enriched">enriched</span> <span word="uranium">uranium</span> <span word="by">by</span> <span word="turning">turning</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="uranium">uranium</span>-<span word="oxide">oxide</span> <span word="powder">powder</span> <span word="intofuel">intofuel</span> <span word="plates">plates</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="research">research</span> <span word="reactor">reactor</span>. <span word="In">In</span> <span word="return">return</span>, <span word="Iran">Iran</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="continue">continue</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="get">get</span> <span word="very">very</span> <span word="limited">limited</span> <span word="relief">relief</span> <span word="onsome">onsome</span> <span word="lesser">lesser</span> <span word="sanctions">sanctions</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="another">another</span> $700<span word="m">m</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="month">month</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="frozen">frozen</span> <span word="bank">bank</span> <span word="accounts">accounts</span> <span word="abroad">abroad</span>.  同时,1月20日开始实施的临时协定日内瓦协定将做出一些微调,但基本保持不变。伊朗下一步将通过把二氧化铀粉末变成每一个研究反应堆的板块燃料板件来使用掉库存的20%浓缩铀。反过来,在对伊朗的制裁上,伊朗只能得到些许缓解,以及每月从海外冻结的银行账户中获得7亿美元的资金。  <span word="The">The</span> <span word="decision">decision</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="extend">extend</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="negotiations">negotiations</span> <span word="makes">makes</span> <span word="sense">sense</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="both">both</span> <span word="sides">sides</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="was">was</span> <span word="widelyexpected">widelyexpected</span>. <span word="For">For</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="mainly">mainly</span> <span word="Western">Western</span> <span word="negotiating">negotiating</span> <span word="team">team</span> <span word="known">known</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="P">P</span>5+1 <span word="the">the</span> <span word="interim">interim</span> <span word="deal">deal</span> <span word="hasincreased">hasincreased</span>, <span word="if">if</span> <span word="only">only</span> <span word="by">by</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="bit">bit</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="time">time</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="would">would</span> <span word="take">take</span> <span word="Iran">Iran</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="produce">produce</span> <span word="enough">enough</span> <span word="weapons">weapons</span>-<span word="gradeuranium">gradeuranium</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="make">make</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="single">single</span> <span word="nuclear">nuclear</span> <span word="device">device</span>. <span word="Some">Some</span> <span word="progress">progress</span> <span word="has">has</span> <span word="also">also</span> <span word="been">been</span> <span word="made">made</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="plan">plan</span> <span word="todefang">todefang</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="heavy">heavy</span>-<span word="water">water</span> <span word="reactor">reactor</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="Arak">Arak</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="could">could</span> <span word="provide">provide</span> <span word="Iran">Iran</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="an">an</span> <span word="alternativeplutonium">alternativeplutonium</span> <span word="path">path</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="bomb">bomb</span>, <span word="by">by</span> <span word="adapting">adapting</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="design">design</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="produces">produces</span> <span word="far">far</span> <span word="less">less</span> <span word="plutonium">plutonium</span>.  延长对话的决定既对谈判双方都有益,也广受期待。对主要的西方谈判小组,也就是被大家所知晓的<span word="P">P</span>5+1组织而言 ,对话暂停增加了时间伊朗能生产出足够武器级的铀来制造单个的核装置。目前就计划通过调整适应一个产生极少钚的设计方案以阿拉克重水反应堆已经取得一些进展。阿拉克能给伊朗提供替代性的钚来完成炸弹。  <span word="Another">Another</span> <span word="issue">issue</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="people">people</span> <span word="close">close</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="negotiations">negotiations</span> <span word="feel">feel</span> <span word="could">could</span> <span word="soon">soon</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="resolved">resolved</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="theenrichment">theenrichment</span> <span word="facility">facility</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="Fordow">Fordow</span>. <span word="Buried">Buried</span> <span word="deep">deep</span> <span word="beneath">beneath</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="mountain">mountain</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="believed">believed</span> <span word="by">by</span> <span word="many">many</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="beinvulnerable">beinvulnerable</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="attack">attack</span> <span word="by">by</span> <span word="conventional">conventional</span> <span word="bombs">bombs</span>, <span word="it">it</span> <span word="could">could</span> <span word="now">now</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="converted">converted</span> <span word="into">into</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="fairlyinnocuous">fairlyinnocuous</span> <span word="R">R</span> <span word="D">D</span> <span word="centre">centre</span>. <span word="Combined">Combined</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="enhanced">enhanced</span>-<span word="inspection">inspection</span> <span word="regime">regime</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="Iran">Iran</span> <span word="haslargely">haslargely</span> <span word="co">co</span>-<span word="operated">operated</span> <span word="with">with</span>, <span word="these">these</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="potential">potential</span> <span word="gains">gains</span> <span word="worth">worth</span> <span word="holding">holding</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="to">to</span>, <span word="at">at</span> <span word="least">least</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="now">now</span>.  另外,谈判相关人员能感觉到另一件事情可能很快得到解决,即弗杜的浓缩装置。很多人都认为这批被埋在大山地下深处的装置很容易遭受传统炸弹的轰击,而现在,已经转入一个相当安全的发展研究所。与伊朗大力合作的增前了的审查制度一并,这些都还值得紧紧抓牢,至少目前是这样。  <span word="For">For</span> <span word="Iran">Iran</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="choice">choice</span> <span word="has">has</span> <span word="been">been</span> <span word="much">much</span> <span word="starker">starker</span>. <span word="To">To</span> <span word="walk">walk</span> <span word="away">away</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="table">table</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="this">this</span> <span word="point">point</span> <span word="wouldbe">wouldbe</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="condemn">condemn</span> <span word="Iranians">Iranians</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="prospect">prospect</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="failing">failing</span> <span word="economy">economy</span> <span word="permanently">permanently</span> <span word="locked">locked</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="thegrip">thegrip</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="an">an</span> <span word="unyielding">unyielding</span> <span word="sanctions">sanctions</span> <span word="regime">regime</span>. <span word="The">The</span> <span word="damage">damage</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="presidency">presidency</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="Hassan">Hassan</span> <span word="Rohani">Rohani</span>,<span word="elected">elected</span> <span word="last">last</span> <span word="year">year</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="end">end</span> <span word="Iran">Iran</span> <span word="s">s</span> <span word="economic">economic</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="political">political</span> <span word="isolation">isolation</span>, <span word="would">would</span> <span word="probably">probably</span> <span word="beirreparable">beirreparable</span>. <span word="Even">Even</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="glowering">glowering</span> <span word="supreme">supreme</span> <span word="leader">leader</span>, <span word="Ayatollah">Ayatollah</span> <span word="Ali">Ali</span> <span word="Khamenei">Khamenei</span>, <span word="might">might</span> <span word="fear">fear</span> <span word="theconsequences">theconsequences</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="failure">failure</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="his">his</span> <span word="regime">regime</span> <span word="s">s</span> <span word="legitimacy">legitimacy</span>.  对伊朗来说,这种选择则更加严峻了。在这个节骨眼上离开谈判桌,伊朗因一个长期受制裁控制日渐衰退的经济状况而受到指责。去年,哈桑鲁哈尼当选总统,结束了伊朗的经济政治孤立状态,而如今他所受到的迫害怕是无法挽回的,甚至是凶狠的至高领导者阿亚图拉阿里哈梅内伊,也会害怕政权无效的后果。  <span word="Western">Western</span> <span word="negotiators">negotiators</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="clearly">clearly</span> <span word="hoping">hoping</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="contemplation">contemplation</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="grim">grim</span> <span word="prospect">prospect</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="givetheir">givetheir</span> <span word="Iranian">Iranian</span> <span word="counterparts">counterparts</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="space">space</span> <span word="they">they</span> <span word="need">need</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="make">make</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="further">further</span> <span word="concessions">concessions</span> <span word="undoubtedlyrequired">undoubtedlyrequired</span> <span word="if">if</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="comprehensive">comprehensive</span> <span word="agreement">agreement</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="reached">reached</span>. <span word="America">America</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="its">its</span> <span word="negotiatingpartners">negotiatingpartners</span> <span word="want">want</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="see">see</span> <span word="Iran">Iran</span> <span word="s">s</span> <span word="current">current</span> <span word="enrichment">enrichment</span> <span word="capacityabout">capacityabout</span> 19,000 <span word="centrifuges">centrifuges</span>, <span word="half">half</span> <span word="ofwhich">ofwhich</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="spinningcut">spinningcut</span> <span word="drastically">drastically</span>. <span word="The">The</span> <span word="Americans">Americans</span> <span word="believe">believe</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="anything">anything</span> <span word="above">above</span> 3,000-4,000<span word="would">would</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="impossible">impossible</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="sell">sell</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="sceptical">sceptical</span> <span word="Congress">Congress</span>. <span word="Yet">Yet</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Iranians">Iranians</span> <span word="seem">seem</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="digging">digging</span> <span word="intheir">intheir</span> <span word="heels">heels</span> <span word="by">by</span> <span word="coming">coming</span> <span word="up">up</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="ever">ever</span>-<span word="higher">higher</span> <span word="estimates">estimates</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="number">number</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="centrifuges">centrifuges</span> <span word="they">they</span> <span word="aim">aim</span> <span word="tohave">tohave</span>.  西方的谈判者很明显,他们就是在期待如果要达成全面的协议,不容乐观的前景会让伊朗做出进一步妥协。美国与其协商伙伴希望能看到伊朗大规模减少其目前的浓缩能力1.9万分离机,其中一半处于工作中。美方认为,超过3000-4000以上,持怀疑态度的国会就不会买账。然而,伊朗似乎拒不让步,他们已经增加了预计持有的分离机数量。  <span word="In">In</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="speech">speech</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="July">July</span> 7<span word="th">th</span>, <span word="Mr">Mr</span> <span word="Khamenei">Khamenei</span> <span word="declared">declared</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="Iran">Iran</span> <span word="must">must</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="able">able</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="produce">produce</span> <span word="enoughenriched">enoughenriched</span> <span word="uranium">uranium</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="fuel">fuel</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Russian">Russian</span>-<span word="built">built</span> <span word="Bushehr">Bushehr</span> <span word="nuclear">nuclear</span> <span word="reactor">reactor</span> <span word="when">when</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="contract">contract</span> <span word="withRussia">withRussia</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="supply">supply</span> <span word="fuel">fuel</span> <span word="runs">runs</span> <span word="out">out</span> <span word="in">in</span> 2021. <span word="That">That</span> <span word="translates">translates</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="definite">definite</span> <span word="need">need</span> <span word="for">for</span> 190,000<span word="separative">separative</span> <span word="work">work</span> <span word="units">units</span>. <span word="Iran">Iran</span> <span word="would">would</span> <span word="need">need</span> <span word="more">more</span> <span word="than">than</span> 100,000 <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="older">older</span> <span word="IR">IR</span>-1 <span word="centrifuges">centrifuges</span> <span word="thatare">thatare</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="current">current</span> <span word="backbone">backbone</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="its">its</span> <span word="enrichment">enrichment</span> <span word="programme">programme</span>, <span word="or">or</span> <span word="about">about</span> 20,000 <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="moreefficient">moreefficient</span> <span word="IR">IR</span>-2<span word="m">m</span> <span word="centrifuges">centrifuges</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="has">has</span> <span word="recently">recently</span> <span word="begun">begun</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="deploy">deploy</span>. <span word="The">The</span> <span word="Iranians">Iranians</span> <span word="say">say</span> <span word="this">this</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="linewith">linewith</span> <span word="what">what</span> <span word="they">they</span> <span word="describe">describe</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="their">their</span> <span word="right">right</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="enrich">enrich</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="civil">civil</span> <span word="nuclear">nuclear</span> <span word="purposes">purposes</span> <span word="under">under</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="termsof">termsof</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="nuclear">nuclear</span> <span word="Non">Non</span>-<span word="Proliferation">Proliferation</span> <span word="Treaty">Treaty</span> .  7月7日,哈梅内伊在讲话中说到,当与俄罗斯签订的燃料供给合约到2021年到期,伊朗一定能生产足够的浓缩铀供给俄罗斯建造的布什尔反应堆。也就是满足额定的19万分离功单位。伊朗还需10万多老式<span word="IR">IR</span>-1分离机,目前这是浓缩项目中的主要设备,或者2万多更高效的<span word="IR">IR</span>-2分离机,这也是目前已经开始采用的。伊方表示,这与他们所描述的在《不扩散核武条约》下,有权浓缩民用核是一致的。  <span word="America">America</span> <span word="has">has</span> <span word="tacitly">tacitly</span> <span word="admitted">admitted</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="Iran">Iran</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="have">have</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="allowed">allowed</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="do">do</span> <span word="some">some</span> <span word="enriching">enriching</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="theprice">theprice</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="deal">deal</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="otherwise">otherwise</span> <span word="constrains">constrains</span> <span word="its">its</span> <span word="nuclear">nuclear</span> <span word="plans">plans</span>. <span word="But">But</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="not">not</span> <span word="accept">accept</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="Iran">Iran</span>,<span word="given">given</span> <span word="its">its</span> <span word="record">record</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="deceit">deceit</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="clandestine">clandestine</span> <span word="activity">activity</span>, <span word="needs">needs</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="capacity">capacity</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="enrich">enrich</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="ispossessed">ispossessed</span> <span word="by">by</span> <span word="very">very</span> <span word="few">few</span> <span word="other">other</span> <span word="countries">countries</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="use">use</span> <span word="civil">civil</span> <span word="nuclear">nuclear</span> <span word="power">power</span>. <span word="Robert">Robert</span> <span word="Einhorn">Einhorn</span>, <span word="anarms">anarms</span>-<span word="control">control</span> <span word="expert">expert</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Brookings">Brookings</span> <span word="Institution">Institution</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="Washington">Washington</span> <span word="who">who</span> <span word="served">served</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Clintonadministration">Clintonadministration</span>, <span word="argues">argues</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Iranian">Iranian</span> <span word="demand">demand</span> <span word="fails">fails</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="realism">realism</span> <span word="test">test</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="several">several</span> <span word="levels">levels</span>. <span word="Ithas">Ithas</span> <span word="no">no</span> <span word="need">need</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="produce">produce</span> <span word="all">all</span> <span word="its">its</span> <span word="own">own</span> <span word="fuel">fuel</span> <span word="because">because</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="can">can</span> <span word="either">either</span> <span word="go">go</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="getting">getting</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="Russia">Russia</span> <span word="oron">oron</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="enriched">enriched</span>-<span word="uranium">uranium</span> <span word="buyers">buyers</span> <span word="market">market</span>. <span word="Iran">Iran</span> <span word="has">has</span> <span word="neither">neither</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="technical">technical</span> <span word="knowledge">knowledge</span> <span word="nor">nor</span> <span word="theinfrastructure">theinfrastructure</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="produce">produce</span> <span word="fuel">fuel</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="type">type</span> <span word="Bushehr">Bushehr</span> <span word="requires">requires</span>.  美国机智地回应,承认伊朗以达成协议为前提能进行一些浓缩项目,不然将限制其核计划。但鉴于伊朗有撒谎和暗中擅自行为的前科,美国不会允许伊朗拥有只有少数使用民用核的国家拥有的浓缩能力。<span word="RobertEinhorn">RobertEinhorn</span>是华盛顿布鲁金斯学会的一位军备控制专家,曾为克林顿工作。他认为伊朗的需求在很多层面上显得不现实。伊朗完全没有必要将其所有的燃料生产出来,因为它能继续从俄罗斯或者浓缩铀市场得到燃料。伊朗既没有技术知识也没有基础设施生产出布什尔所需要的燃料品种。  <span word="If">If</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="enrichment">enrichment</span> <span word="capacity">capacity</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="Iran">Iran</span> <span word="says">says</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="eventually">eventually</span> <span word="need">need</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="both">both</span> <span word="implausible">implausible</span> <span word="andfar">andfar</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="excess">excess</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="anything">anything</span> <span word="being">being</span> <span word="contemplated">contemplated</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="acceptable">acceptable</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="P">P</span>5+1, <span word="so">so</span> <span word="too">too</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="itsconcept">itsconcept</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="time">time</span> <span word="an">an</span> <span word="agreement">agreement</span> <span word="would">would</span> <span word="run">run</span> <span word="before">before</span> <span word="Iran">Iran</span> <span word="could">could</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="treated">treated</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="normal">normal</span> <span word="NPTsignatory">NPTsignatory</span>. <span word="Iran">Iran</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="thinking">thinking</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="terms">terms</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="not">not</span> <span word="much">much</span> <span word="more">more</span> <span word="than">than</span> <span word="five">five</span> <span word="years">years</span>, <span word="while">while</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Americansand">Americansand</span> <span word="their">their</span> <span word="partners">partners</span> <span word="have">have</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="mind">mind</span> <span word="ten">ten</span> <span word="to">to</span> 20 <span word="years">years</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="punctilious">punctilious</span> <span word="compliance">compliance</span> <span word="before">before</span> <span word="Irancould">Irancould</span> <span word="start">start</span> <span word="building">building</span> <span word="up">up</span> <span word="its">its</span> <span word="centrifuges">centrifuges</span> <span word="again">again</span>. <span word="It">It</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="possible">possible</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="under">under</span> <span word="such">such</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="deal">deal</span> <span word="Iran">Iran</span> <span word="might">might</span> <span word="beallowed">beallowed</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="continue">continue</span> <span word="developing">developing</span> <span word="advanced">advanced</span> <span word="centrifuges">centrifuges</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="learn">learn</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="techniques">techniques</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="fuelfabrication">fuelfabrication</span>, <span word="thus">thus</span> <span word="preparing">preparing</span> <span word="itself">itself</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="more">more</span> <span word="ambitious">ambitious</span> <span word="nuclear">nuclear</span> <span word="programme">programme</span> <span word="after">after</span> <span word="theagreement">theagreement</span> <span word="expires">expires</span>. <span word="That">That</span>, <span word="Mr">Mr</span> <span word="Einhorn">Einhorn</span> <span word="thinks">thinks</span>, <span word="could">could</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="basis">basis</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="compromise">compromise</span>.  如果伊朗所说自己最终需求的浓缩能力既不合情理,也不能被<span word="P">P</span>5+1接受,那么在伊朗也能被视为一个正常的《不扩散核武条约》签署国之前,协议达成所需的时间也是一样的。伊朗的考虑是5年内,而美国及其盟友心中所想的时间伊朗需要谨慎遵从条约规定10到20年,才能再开始建立分离机。只有在这样的前提下,伊朗才有可能被允许继续发展高级的分离机以及学习燃料制造技术,因而在协议期满之后为自己更宏伟的核计划做好准备。 <span word="Einhorn">Einhorn</span>表示这是妥协的基础。  <span word="Can">Can</span> <span word="Mr">Mr</span> <span word="Rohani">Rohani</span> <span word="sell">sell</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="deal">deal</span> <span word="along">along</span> <span word="those">those</span> <span word="lines">lines</span> <span word="back">back</span> <span word="home">home</span>, <span word="above">above</span> <span word="all">all</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="enigmatic">enigmatic</span> <span word="MrKhamenei">MrKhamenei</span>? <span word="They">They</span> <span word="may">may</span> <span word="not">not</span> <span word="even">even</span> <span word="know">know</span>. <span word="But">But</span> <span word="four">four</span> <span word="months">months</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="not">not</span> <span word="long">long</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="find">find</span> <span word="out">out</span>.  鲁哈尼能与哈梅内伊达成协议吗?他们也许不会知道,但是花上四个月的时间,不难发现。  词语解释  1.<span word="negotiate">negotiate</span> <span word="with">with</span> 与谈判  <span word="We">We</span> <span word="tried">tried</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="negotiate">negotiate</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="them">them</span>, <span word="but">but</span> <span word="they">they</span> <span word="refused">refused</span>.  我们试图与他们谈判, 但被他们拒绝。  <span word="They">They</span> <span word="should">should</span> <span word="negotiate">negotiate</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="other">other</span> <span word="players">players</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="getthe">getthe</span> <span word="best">best</span> <span word="rate">rate</span> <span word="possible">possible</span>.  他们可以与其他玩家谈判以获得可能的最好利率。  2.<span word="in">in</span> <span word="exchange">exchange</span> <span word="for">for</span> 作为的交换  <span word="You">You</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="piece">piece</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="grass">grass</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="all">all</span> <span word="they">they</span> <span word="have">have</span> <span word="given">given</span> <span word="me">me</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="exchange">exchange</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="whole">whole</span> <span word="world">world</span>,<span word="which">which</span> <span word="I">I</span> <span word="enjoyed">enjoyed</span> <span word="outside">outside</span>.  你和这小块草皮是他们所给我的,用来交换我在外面享受着的整个世界的。  <span word="In">In</span> <span word="exchange">exchange</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="your">your</span> <span word="effort">effort</span>, <span word="you">you</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="rewarded">rewarded</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="composting">composting</span> <span word="service">service</span>, <span word="provided">provided</span> <span word="byreliable">byreliable</span> <span word="workers">workers</span>.  以你的努力为交换,你将获得由可靠的工人提供的堆制肥料服务。  3.<span word="continue">continue</span> <span word="to">to</span> 继续  <span word="At">At</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="moment">moment</span>, <span word="we">we</span> <span word="continue">continue</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="do">do</span> <span word="what">what</span> <span word="we">we</span> <span word="do">do</span>.  目前我们会继续做我们应该做的。  <span word="The">The</span> <span word="answer">answer</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="question">question</span> <span word="of">of</span>/<span word="whether">whether</span> <span word="we">we</span> <span word="should">should</span> <span word="continue">continue</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="hold">hold</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="meeting">meeting</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="planneddepends">planneddepends</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="part">part</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="when">when</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="epidemic">epidemic</span> <span word="disease">disease</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="curbed">curbed</span>.  问题的答案在于,我们是否可以继续按计划举行会议,部分地取决于什么时候那种传染病会得到控制。  4.<span word="provide">provide</span> <span word="with">with</span> 供给  <span word="Because">Because</span> <span word="they">they</span> <span word="illustrate">illustrate</span> <span word="vividly">vividly</span> <span word="how">how</span> <span word="one">one</span> <span word="should">should</span> <span word="live">live</span> <span word="his">his</span> <span word="life">life</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="how">how</span> <span word="provide">provide</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="provenways">provenways</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="reach">reach</span> <span word="one">one</span> <span word="s">s</span> <span word="potential">potential</span>.  它们生动阐述着人应当怎样生活,并为人们在实现自己潜能的道路上提供可行之选。  <span word="Innovation">Innovation</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="more">more</span> <span word="than">than</span> <span word="designing">designing</span> <span word="more">more</span> <span word="fashion">fashion</span> <span word="products">products</span>, <span word="it">it</span> <span word="also">also</span> <span word="includs">includs</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="get">get</span> <span word="approvale">approvale</span> <span word="ofthe">ofthe</span> <span word="customer">customer</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="provide">provide</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="more">more</span> <span word="services">services</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="so">so</span> <span word="on">on</span>.  创新不仅仅只是设计出更多的时髦产品,它还应包括如何令客户更满意、为客户提供更好的服务等方面。</p>
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