2014考研经济学人中英文对照思维机器出故障了吗
<p> <span word="ErikBrynjolfsson">ErikBrynjolfsson</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="Andrew">Andrew</span> <span word="McAfee">McAfee</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="MIT">MIT</span> <span word="make">make</span> <span word="use">use</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="this">this</span> <span word="image">image</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="their">their</span> <span word="e">e</span>-<span word="book">book</span> <span word="Race">Race</span> <span word="Against">Against</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Machine">Machine</span>. <span word="By">By</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="measureknown">measureknown</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="Moore">Moore</span> <span word="s">s</span> <span word="law">law</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="ability">ability</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="get">get</span> <span word="calculations">calculations</span> <span word="out">out</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="piece">piece</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="silicondoubles">silicondoubles</span> <span word="every">every</span> 18 <span word="months">months</span>. <span word="That">That</span> <span word="growth">growth</span> <span word="rate">rate</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="not">not</span> <span word="last">last</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="ever">ever</span>; <span word="but">but</span> <span word="otheraspects">otheraspects</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="computation">computation</span>, <span word="such">such</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="capacity">capacity</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="algorithms">algorithms</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="handle">handle</span> <span word="data">data</span>, <span word="arealso">arealso</span> <span word="growing">growing</span> <span word="exponentially">exponentially</span>. <span word="When">When</span> <span word="such">such</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="capacity">capacity</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="low">low</span>, <span word="that">that</span> <span word="doubling">doubling</span> <span word="does">does</span> <span word="notmatter">notmatter</span>. <span word="As">As</span> <span word="soon">soon</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="matters">matters</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="all">all</span>, <span word="though">though</span>, <span word="it">it</span> <span word="can">can</span> <span word="quickly">quickly</span> <span word="start">start</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="matter">matter</span> <span word="alot">alot</span>. <span word="On">On</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="second">second</span> <span word="half">half</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="chessboard">chessboard</span> <span word="not">not</span> <span word="only">only</span> <span word="has">has</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="cumulative">cumulative</span> <span word="effect">effect</span> <span word="ofinnovations">ofinnovations</span> <span word="become">become</span> <span word="large">large</span>, <span word="but">but</span> <span word="each">each</span> <span word="new">new</span> <span word="iteration">iteration</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="innovation">innovation</span> <span word="delivers">delivers</span> <span word="atechnological">atechnological</span> <span word="jolt">jolt</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="powerful">powerful</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="all">all</span> <span word="previous">previous</span> <span word="rounds">rounds</span> <span word="combined">combined</span>.</p><p> 麻省理工学院的埃里克布伦乔尔森和安德鲁麦克菲在他们的电子书《与机器赛跑》中引用了以上这个例子。根据众所周知的摩尔定律，从一片硅片中得到计算的能力每18个月翻一番。这种增长的速率不会永远保持下去;但是，计算机在其他方面的能力，如处理数据的算法，也在成倍地增长。当这种能力处于低水平时，翻番起不了多大的作用。不过，一旦它开始发挥作用的时候，它能迅速地影响许多事物。棋盘的下半部分不仅仅是创新的累计效应在增强，而且每一项新的创新都带来某种技术方面的突飞猛进，其能量如同以前所有技术加起来那么强大。</p>
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