得背诵的考研阅读真题七
<p> <span word="Much">Much</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="language">language</span> <span word="used">used</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="describe">describe</span> <span word="monetary">monetary</span> <span word="policy">policy</span>, <span word="such">such</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="steering">steering</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="economy">economy</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="soft">soft</span> <span word="landing">landing</span> <span word="or">or</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="touch">touch</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="brakes">brakes</span>, <span word="makes">makes</span> <span word="it">it</span> <span word="sound">sound</span> <span word="like">like</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="precise">precise</span> <span word="science">science</span>. <span word="Nothing">Nothing</span> <span word="could">could</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="further">further</span> <span word="from">from</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="truth">truth</span>. <span word="The">The</span> <span word="link">link</span> <span word="between">between</span> <span word="interest">interest</span> <span word="rates">rates</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="inflation">inflation</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="uncertain">uncertain</span>. <span word="And">And</span> <span word="there">there</span> <span word="are">are</span> <span word="long">long</span>, <span word="variable">variable</span> <span word="lags">lags</span> <span word="before">before</span> <span word="policy">policy</span> <span word="changes">changes</span> <span word="have">have</span> <span word="any">any</span> <span word="effect">effect</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="economy">economy</span>. <span word="Hence">Hence</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="analogy">analogy</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="likens">likens</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="conduct">conduct</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="monetary">monetary</span> <span word="policy">policy</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="driving">driving</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="car">car</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="blackened">blackened</span> <span word="windscreen">windscreen</span>, <span word="a">a</span> <span word="cracked">cracked</span> <span word="rear">rear</span>-<span word="view">view</span> <span word="mirror">mirror</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="faulty">faulty</span> <span word="steering">steering</span> <span word="wheel">wheel</span>.</p><p> <span word="Given">Given</span> <span word="all">all</span> <span word="these">these</span> <span word="disadvantages">disadvantages</span>, <span word="central">central</span> <span word="bankers">bankers</span> <span word="seem">seem</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="have">have</span> <span word="had">had</span> <span word="much">much</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="boast">boast</span> <span word="about">about</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="late">late</span>. <span word="Average">Average</span> <span word="inflation">inflation</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="big">big</span> <span word="seven">seven</span> <span word="industrial">industrial</span> <span word="economies">economies</span> <span word="fell">fell</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="mere">mere</span> 2.3% <span word="last">last</span> <span word="year">year</span>, <span word="close">close</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="its">its</span> <span word="lowest">lowest</span> <span word="level">level</span> <span word="in">in</span> 30 <span word="years">years</span>, <span word="before">before</span> <span word="rising">rising</span> <span word="slightly">slightly</span> <span word="to">to</span> 2.5% <span word="this">this</span> <span word="July">July</span>. <span word="This">This</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="long">long</span> <span word="way">way</span> <span word="below">below</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="double">double</span>-<span word="digit">digit</span> <span word="rates">rates</span> <span word="which">which</span> <span word="many">many</span> <span word="countries">countries</span> <span word="experienced">experienced</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="the">the</span> 1970<span word="s">s</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="early">early</span> 1980<span word="s">s</span>.</p><p> <span word="It">It</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="also">also</span> <span word="less">less</span> <span word="than">than</span> <span word="most">most</span> <span word="forecasters">forecasters</span> <span word="had">had</span> <span word="predicted">predicted</span>. <span word="In">In</span> <span word="late">late</span> 1994 <span word="the">the</span> <span word="panel">panel</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="economists">economists</span> <span word="which">which</span> <span word="The">The</span> <span word="Economist">Economist</span> <span word="polls">polls</span> <span word="each">each</span> <span word="month">month</span> <span word="said">said</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="Americas">Americas</span> <span word="inflation">inflation</span> <span word="rate">rate</span> <span word="would">would</span> <span word="average">average</span> 3.5% <span word="in">in</span> 1995. <span word="In">In</span> <span word="fact">fact</span>, <span word="it">it</span> <span word="fell">fell</span> <span word="to">to</span> 2.6% <span word="in">in</span> <span word="August">August</span>, <span word="and">and</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="expected">expected</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="average">average</span> <span word="only">only</span> <span word="about">about</span> 3% <span word="for">for</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="year">year</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="whole">whole</span>. <span word="In">In</span> <span word="Britain">Britain</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="Japan">Japan</span> <span word="inflation">inflation</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="running">running</span> <span word="half">half</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="percentage">percentage</span> <span word="point">point</span> <span word="below">below</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="rate">rate</span> <span word="predicted">predicted</span> <span word="at">at</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="end">end</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="last">last</span> <span word="year">year</span>. <span word="This">This</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="no">no</span> <span word="flash">flash</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="pan">pan</span>, <span word="over">over</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="past">past</span> <span word="couple">couple</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="years">years</span>, <span word="inflation">inflation</span> <span word="has">has</span> <span word="been">been</span> <span word="consistently">consistently</span> <span word="lower">lower</span> <span word="than">than</span> <span word="expected">expected</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="Britain">Britain</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="America">America</span>.</p>
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