GMAT考试写作指导：Argument范文三九
<p> 31. <span word="In">In</span> <span word="this">this</span> <span word="argument">argument</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="consulting">consulting</span> <span word="firm">firm</span> <span word="recommends">recommends</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="transfer">transfer</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="investments">investments</span> <span word="from">from</span></p><p> <span word="Cola">Cola</span> <span word="Loca">Loca</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="Early">Early</span> <span word="Bird">Bird</span> <span word="Coffee">Coffee</span> <span word="because">because</span>, <span word="during">during</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="next">next</span> 20 <span word="years">years</span>, <span word="coffee">coffee</span> <span word="demand">demand</span> <span word="will">will</span></p><p> <span word="increase">increase</span> <span word="while">while</span> <span word="cola">cola</span> <span word="demand">demand</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="decrease">decrease</span>. <span word="This">This</span> <span word="prediction">prediction</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="based">based</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="expectation">expectation</span></p><p> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="number">number</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="older">older</span> <span word="adults">adults</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="significantly">significantly</span> <span word="increase">increase</span> <span word="over">over</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="next">next</span> 20 <span word="years">years</span>,</p><p> <span word="together">together</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="statistics">statistics</span>, <span word="reportedly">reportedly</span> <span word="stable">stable</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="past">past</span> 40 <span word="years">years</span>, <span word="indicating">indicating</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="coffee">coffee</span></p><p> <span word="consumption">consumption</span> <span word="increases">increases</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="age">age</span> <span word="while">while</span> <span word="cola">cola</span> <span word="consumption">consumption</span> <span word="declines">declines</span> <span word="with">with</span> <span word="increasing">increasing</span> <span word="age">age</span>.</p><p> <span word="For">For</span> <span word="three">three</span> <span word="reasons">reasons</span>, <span word="this">this</span> <span word="financial">financial</span> <span word="advice">advice</span> <span word="may">may</span> <span word="not">not</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="sound">sound</span>.</p><p> <span word="First">First</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="argument">argument</span> <span word="assumes">assumes</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="relative">relative</span> <span word="supply">supply</span> <span word="conditions">conditions</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="remain">remain</span> <span word="unchanged">unchanged</span></p><p> <span word="over">over</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="next">next</span> <span word="twenty">twenty</span> <span word="years">years</span>. <span word="However">However</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="supply">supply</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="cost">cost</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="cola">cola</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="coffee">coffee</span> <span word="beans">beans</span>, <span word="as">as</span></p><p> <span word="well">well</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="other">other</span> <span word="costs">costs</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="doing">doing</span> <span word="business">business</span> <span word="as">as</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="producer">producer</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="coffee">coffee</span> <span word="or">or</span> <span word="cola">cola</span>, <span word="may">may</span> <span word="fluctuate">fluctuate</span></p><p> <span word="greatly">greatly</span> <span word="over">over</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="long">long</span> <span word="time">time</span> <span word="period">period</span>. <span word="These">These</span> <span word="factors">factors</span> <span word="may">may</span> <span word="affect">affect</span> <span word="comparative">comparative</span> <span word="prices">prices</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="coffee">coffee</span></p><p> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="cola">cola</span>, <span word="which">which</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="turn">turn</span> <span word="may">may</span> <span word="affect">affect</span> <span word="comparative">comparative</span> <span word="demand">demand</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="value">value</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="investments">investments</span> <span word="in">in</span></p><p> <span word="coffee">coffee</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="cola">cola</span> <span word="companies">companies</span>. <span word="Without">Without</span> <span word="considering">considering</span> <span word="other">other</span> <span word="factors">factors</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="contribute">contribute</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="the">the</span></p><p> <span word="value">value</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="coffee">coffee</span> <span word="or">or</span> <span word="cola">cola</span> <span word="company">company</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="firm">firm</span> <span word="cannot">cannot</span> <span word="justify">justify</span> <span word="its">its</span> <span word="recommendation">recommendation</span>.</p><p> <span word="Secondly">Secondly</span>, <span word="the">the</span> <span word="argument">argument</span> <span word="fails">fails</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="account">account</span> <span word="for">for</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="timing">timing</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="increase">increase</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="coffee">coffee</span></p>
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