职称英语理工类考试教材阅读理解重点文章以及译文(2)
<p> <span word="World">World</span> <span word="Crude">Crude</span> <span word="Oil">Oil</span> <span word="Production">Production</span> <span word="May">May</span> <span word="Peak">Peak</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="Decade">Decade</span> <span word="Earlier">Earlier</span> <span word="Than">Than</span> <span word="Some">Some</span> <span word="Predict">Predict</span></p><p> <span word="Ibrahim">Ibrahim</span> <span word="Nashawi">Nashawi</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="colleagues">colleagues</span> <span word="point">point</span> <span word="out">out</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="rapid">rapid</span> <span word="growth">growth</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="global">global</span> <span word="oil">oil</span> <span word="consumption">consumption</span> <span word="has">has</span> <span word="sparked">sparked</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="growing">growing</span> <span word="interest">interest</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="predicting">predicting</span> <span word="peak">peak</span> <span word="oil">oil</span>. <span word="Peak">Peak</span> <span word="oil">oil</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="point">point</span> <span word="where">where</span> <span word="oil">oil</span> <span word="production">production</span> <span word="reaches">reaches</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="maximum">maximum</span> <span word="and">and</span> <span word="then">then</span> <span word="declines">declines</span>. <span word="Scientists">Scientists</span> <span word="have">have</span> <span word="developed">developed</span> <span word="several">several</span> <span word="models">models</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="forecast">forecast</span> <span word="this">this</span> <span word="point">point</span>，<span word="and">and</span> <span word="some">some</span> <span word="put">put</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="date">date</span> <span word="at">at</span> 2020 <span word="or">or</span> <span word="later">later</span>. <span word="One">One</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="most">most</span> <span word="famous">famous</span> <span word="forecast">forecast</span> <span word="models">models</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="called">called</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="Hubbert">Hubbert</span> <span word="model">model</span>2.<span word="It">It</span> <span word="assumes">assumes</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="global">global</span> <span word="oil">oil</span> <span word="production">production</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="follow">follow</span> <span word="a">a</span> <span word="bell">bell</span> <span word="shaped">shaped</span> <span word="curve">curve</span>3.<span word="A">A</span> <span word="related">related</span> <span word="concept">concept</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="that">that</span>4 <span word="of">of</span> <span word="Peak">Peak</span> <span word="Oil">Oil</span>. <span word="The">The</span> <span word="term">term</span> <span word="Peak">Peak</span> <span word="Oil">Oil</span> <span word="indicates">indicates</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="moment">moment</span> <span word="in">in</span> <span word="which">which</span> <span word="world">world</span> <span word="wide">wide</span> <span word="production">production</span> <span word="will">will</span> <span word="peak">peak</span>，<span word="afterwards">afterwards</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="start">start</span> <span word="on">on</span> <span word="irreversible">irreversible</span> <span word="decline">decline</span>.</p><p> <span word="However">However</span>，<span word="recent">recent</span> <span word="studies">studies</span> <span word="show">show</span> <span word="that">that</span> <span word="the">the</span> <span word="model">model</span> <span word="is">is</span> <span word="insufficient">insufficient</span> <span word="to">to</span> <span word="account">account</span> <span word="for">for</span>5 <span word="more">more</span> <span word="complex">complex</span> <span word="oil">oil</span> <span word="production">production</span> <span word="cycles">cycles</span> <span word="of">of</span> <span word="some">some</span> <span word="countries">countries</span>. <span word="Those">Those</span> <span word="cycles">cycles</span> <span word="can">can</span> <span word="be">be</span> <span word="heavily">heavily</span> <span word="influenced">influenced</span> <span word="by">by</span> <span word="technology">technology</span> <span word="changes">changes</span>，<span word="politics">politics</span>，<span word="and">and</span> <span word="other">other</span> <span word="factors">factors</span>，<span word="the">the</span> <span word="scientists">scientists</span> <span word="say">say</span>.</p><p> 词汇：</p><p> <span word="crude">crude</span> <span word="oil">oil</span>原油</p><p> <span word="curve">curve</span> <span word="n">n</span>.曲线</p><p> 1.<span word="ACSEnergyFuels">ACSEnergyFuels</span>：<span word="ACS">ACS</span>是<span word="American">American</span> <span word="Chemical">Chemical</span> <span word="Society">Society</span>的缩写。该学会成立于1876年，现已成为世界最大的科技协会。多年来，<span word="ACS">ACS</span>一直致力于为全球化学研究机构、企业及个人提供高品质的文献资讯及服务。<span word="ACS">ACS</span>出版的期刊有34种，这些期刊在化学领域中是被引用次数最多的化学期刊，<span word="EnergyFuels">EnergyFuels</span>即是其中一本。</p>
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